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Bayesian Estimation of Possibly Similar Yield Densities: Implications for Rating Crop Insurance Contracts

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Daniel Schuurman & Alan Ker, 2025. "Heterogeneity, climate change, and crop yield distributions: Solvency implications for publicly subsidized crop insurance programs," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 107(1), pages 248-268, January.
  2. Niyibizi, Bart & Brorsen, Wade & Park, Eunchun, "undated". "Using Bayesian Kriging for Spatial Smoothing of Trends in the Means and Variances of Crop Yield Densities," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274403, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  3. Li, Yuansen & Tolhurst, Tor N., 2024. "Adoption of Genetically Engineered Seeds in China: Predicting Treatment Effects on the Crop-Yield Distribution by Synthetic Control," 2024 Annual Meeting, July 28-30, New Orleans, LA 343921, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  4. Shen, Zhiwei, "undated". "Adaptive local parametric estimation of crop yields: implication for crop insurance ratemaking," 156th Seminar, October 4, 2016, Wageningen, The Netherlands 249984, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  5. Dahal, Sagar & Lence, Sergio, 2026. "Modeling Crop Yields with Rare Downward Shocks: Implications for Crop Insurance," 2026 Annual Meeting, July 26 - 28, 2026, Kansas City, Missouri 404358, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  6. repec:ags:aaea22:335759 is not listed on IDEAS
  7. Yong Liu & Alan P. Ker, 2021. "Simultaneous borrowing of information across space and time for pricing insurance contracts: An application to rating crop insurance policies," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 88(1), pages 231-257, March.
  8. Dahal, Sagar & Lence, Sergio, 2026. "Comparing and Combining Crop Yield Densities for Crop Insurance Rating," 2026 Annual Meeting, July 26 - 28, 2026, Kansas City, Missouri 404403, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  9. Liu, Y. & Ker, A., 2018. "Is There Too Much History in Historical Yield Data," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277293, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  10. Liang, Weifang & Liu, Yong, 2023. "Rating Crop Insurance Contracts with Model Stacking of Gaussian Processes," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335759, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  11. Li, Yixuan & Ker, Alan & Aglasan, Serkan, 2026. "Crop yield distribution modeling faces three key challenges: complex distributional structure, limited historical data at the county level, and the need to incorporate evolving climate conditions into distributional dynamics. We propose a Fixed-Effec," 100th Annual Conference, March 23-25, 2026, Wadham College, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK 397878, Agricultural Economics Society (AES).
  12. Yong Liu & A. Ford Ramsey, 2023. "Incorporating historical weather information in crop insurance rating," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 105(2), pages 546-575, March.
  13. Tolhurst, Tor N. & Ker, Alan P., "undated". "The Fingerprint of Climate on 65 Years of Increasing and Asymmetric Crop Yield Volatility in the Corn Belt," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 259189, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  14. Park, Eunchun & Brorsen, B. Wade & Harri, Ardian, 2016. "Using Bayesian Spatial Smoothing and Extreme Value Theory to Develop Area-Yield Crop Insurance Rating," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235754, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  15. Chemeris, Anna & Liu, Yong & Ker, Alan P., 2022. "Insurance subsidies, climate change, and innovation: Implications for crop yield resiliency," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  16. Kuangyu Wen, 2023. "A semiparametric spatio‐temporal model of crop yield trend and its implication to insurance rating," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 54(5), pages 662-673, September.
  17. A. Ford Ramsey & Yong Liu, 2023. "Linear pooling of potentially related density forecasts in crop insurance," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 90(3), pages 769-788, September.
  18. Park, Eunchun & Brorsen, Wade & Harri, Ardian, "undated". "Spatially Smoothed Crop Yield Density Estimation: Physical Distance vs Climate Similarity," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 259145, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  19. repec:ags:aaea22:343921 is not listed on IDEAS
  20. A. Ford Ramsey & Barry K. Goodwin, 2019. "Value-at-Risk and Models of Dependence in the U.S. Federal Crop Insurance Program," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-21, April.
  21. Ramsey, A., 2018. "Conditional Distributions of Crop Yields: A Bayesian Approach for Characterizing Technological Change," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277253, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
  22. A Ford Ramsey, 2020. "Probability Distributions of Crop Yields: A Bayesian Spatial Quantile Regression Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(1), pages 220-239, January.
  23. Fujin Yi & Mengfei Zhou & Yu Yvette Zhang, 2020. "Value of Incorporating ENSO Forecast in Crop Insurance Programs," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 439-457, March.
  24. Claudia Schmidt & Steven C. Deller & Stephan J. Goetz, 2024. "Women farmers and community well‐being under modeling uncertainty," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(1), pages 275-299, March.
  25. A. Ford Ramsey & Michael K. Adjemian, 2024. "Forecast combination in agricultural economics: Past, present, and the future," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(4), pages 1450-1478, December.
  26. Kuangyu Wen & Ximing Wu & David J. Leatham, 2021. "Spatially Smoothed Kernel Densities with Application to Crop Yield Distributions," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 26(3), pages 349-366, September.
  27. Hanjun Lu & Alan P. Ker, 2025. "On the Extent That Changing Climate Has Structurally Changed Marginal Crop Yield Distributions and Crop Losses," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 56(6), pages 1030-1041, November.
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