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Filtering and Forecasting with Misspecified Arch Models II: Making the Right Forecast with the Wrong Model

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. David S. Bates, 1995. "Testing Option Pricing Models," NBER Working Papers 5129, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Font, Begoña, 1998. "Modelización de series temporales financieras. Una recopilación," DES - Documentos de Trabajo. Estadística y Econometría. DS 3664, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  3. Buccheri, Giuseppe & Corsi, Fulvio & Flandoli, Franco & Livieri, Giulia, 2021. "The continuous-time limit of score-driven volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(2), pages 655-675.
  4. Ding, Yashuang (Dexter), 2023. "A simple joint model for returns, volatility and volatility of volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 521-543.
  5. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev, 1997. "Answering the Critics: Yes, ARCH Models Do Provide Good Volatility Forecasts," NBER Working Papers 6023, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Dutta, Shantanu & Essaddam, Naceur & Kumar, Vinod & Saadi, Samir, 2017. "How does electronic trading affect efficiency of stock market and conditional volatility? Evidence from Toronto Stock Exchange," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 867-877.
  7. Giuseppe Buccheri & Stefano Grassi & Giorgio Vocalelli, 2021. "Estimating Risk in Illiquid Markets: a Model of Market Friction with Stochastic Volatility," CEIS Research Paper 506, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Nov 2021.
  8. Ding, Y., 2020. "Diffusion Limits of Real-Time GARCH," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20112, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  9. Martens, Martin, 2001. "Forecasting daily exchange rate volatility using intraday returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 1-23, February.
  10. LeBaron, Blake, 1999. "Technical trading rule profitability and foreign exchange intervention," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 125-143, October.
  11. Anders Tolver Jensen & Theis Lange, 2009. "On IGARCH and convergence of the QMLE for misspecified GARCH models," CREATES Research Papers 2009-06, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  12. Ding, Y., 2021. "Augmented Real-Time GARCH: A Joint Model for Returns, Volatility and Volatility of Volatility," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2112, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  13. Montshioa, Keitumetse & Muteba Mwamba, John Weirstrass & Bonga-Bonga, Lumengo, 2021. "Asset allocation in extreme market conditions: a comparative analysis between developed and emerging economies," MPRA Paper 106248, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Jarl G. Kallberg & Crocker H. Liu & Paolo Pasquariello, 2014. "On the Price Comovement of U.S. Residential Real Estate Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 42(1), pages 71-108, March.
  15. Fabio Fornari, 2005. "The rise and fall of US dollar interest rate volatility: evidence from swaptions," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, September.
  16. Sizova, Natalia, 2011. "Integrated variance forecasting: Model based vs. reduced form," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 162(2), pages 294-311, June.
  17. Pagan, Adrian, 1996. "The econometrics of financial markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 15-102, May.
  18. David Allen & Stephen Satchell & Colin Lizieri, 2024. "Quantifying the non-Gaussian gain," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(1), pages 1-18, February.
  19. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev & Francis X. Diebold & Paul Labys, 2003. "Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 579-625, March.
  20. Giorgio Calzolari & Gabriele Fiorentini, 1998. "A tobit model with garch errors," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 85-104.
  21. Andersen, Torben G & Sorensen, Bent E, 1996. "GMM Estimation of a Stochastic Volatility Model: A Monte Carlo Study," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 14(3), pages 328-352, July.
  22. Chan, K. C. & Karolyi, G. Andrew & Stulz, ReneM., 1992. "Global financial markets and the risk premium on U.S. equity," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 137-167, October.
  23. Svec, Jiri & Katrak, Xerxis, 2017. "Forecasting volatility with interacting multiple models," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 245-252.
  24. Bollerslev, Tim & Engle, Robert F. & Nelson, Daniel B., 1986. "Arch models," Handbook of Econometrics, in: R. F. Engle & D. McFadden (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 49, pages 2959-3038, Elsevier.
  25. Coqueret, Guillaume & Deguest, Romain, 2024. "Unexpected opportunities in misspecified predictive regressions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 318(2), pages 686-700.
  26. Daniel B. Nelson, 1994. "Asymptotic Filtering Theory for Multivariate ARCH Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0162, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  27. Fabio Fornari & Antonio Mele, 1997. "Weak convergence and distributional assumptions for a general class of nonliner arch models," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(2), pages 205-227.
  28. Fornari, Fabio, 2010. "Assessing the compensation for volatility risk implicit in interest rate derivatives," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 722-743, September.
  29. Yi, Li & He, Lei, 2016. "False discoveries in style timing of Chinese mutual funds," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 194-208.
  30. John W. Galbraith & Victoria Zinde-Walsh, 2000. "Properties of Estimates of Daily GARCH Parameters Based on Intra-Day Observations," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1800, Econometric Society.
  31. Ghysels, E. & Harvey, A. & Renault, E., 1995. "Stochastic Volatility," Papers 95.400, Toulouse - GREMAQ.
  32. Eduardo Rossi, 2010. "Univariate GARCH models: a survey (in Russian)," Quantile, Quantile, issue 8, pages 1-67, July.
  33. Anupam Dutta & Debojyoti Das, 2022. "Forecasting realized volatility: New evidence from time‐varying jumps in VIX," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(12), pages 2165-2189, December.
  34. Enzo D'Innocenzo & Andre Lucas & Bernd Schwaab & Xin Zhang, 2024. "Joint extreme Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall dynamics with a single integrated tail shape parameter," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 24-069/III, Tinbergen Institute.
  35. Chamil W SENARATHNE & Wei JIANGUO, 2020. "Testing for Heteroskedastic Mixture of Ordinary Least Squares Errors," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 73-91, July.
  36. Amare Wubishet Ayele & Emmanuel Gabreyohannes & Yohannes Yebabe Tesfay, 2017. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Volatility for the Gold Price in Ethiopia: The Application of GARCH and EWMA Volatility Models," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 18(2), pages 308-326, April.
  37. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Lange, Steve, 1999. "Forecasting financial market volatility: Sample frequency vis-a-vis forecast horizon," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(5), pages 457-477, December.
  38. Jensen Anders Tolver & Lange Theis, 2010. "On Convergence of the QMLE for Misspecified GARCH Models," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 2(1), pages 1-31, June.
  39. Guillaume Coqueret & Romain Deguest, 2024. "Unexpected opportunities in misspecified predictive regressions," Post-Print hal-04595355, HAL.
  40. Blair, Bevan J. & Poon, Ser-Huang & Taylor, Stephen J., 2001. "Forecasting S&P 100 volatility: the incremental information content of implied volatilities and high-frequency index returns," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 5-26, November.
  41. repec:dau:papers:123456789/2138 is not listed on IDEAS
  42. Torben G. Andersen & Tim Bollerslev, 1996. "DM-Dollar Volatility: Intraday Activity Patterns, Macroeconomic Announcements, and Longer Run Dependencies," NBER Working Papers 5783, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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