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Facts and Fiction in Oil Market Modeling

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Spiro, Daniel & Wachtmeister, Henrik & Gars, Johan, 2025. "Assessing the impacts of oil sanctions on Russia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
  2. Xueting Jiang & David I. Stern, 2023. "Asymmetric business cycle changes in US carbon emissions and oil market shocks," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(11), pages 1-24, November.
  3. Atsushi Inoue & Lutz Kilian, 2020. "The Role of the Prior in Estimating VAR Models with Sign Restrictions," Working Papers 2030, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
  4. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Xiao, Jihong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Not all geopolitical shocks are alike: Identifying price dynamics in the crude oil market under tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  5. Morão, Hugo, 2025. "Fuel price surges and rising inflation expectations in the Euro Area," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
  6. Banerjee, Joshua J., 2024. "Inflationary oil shocks, fiscal policy, and debt dynamics: New evidence from oil-importing OECD economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  7. DeCoste, Joseph, 2025. "Does excess futures market demand affect the spot price of oil?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  8. Zeina Alsalman, 2023. "Oil price shocks and US unemployment: evidence from disentangling the duration of unemployment spells in the labor market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 479-511, July.
  9. Chen, Jianyu & Zhang, Jianshun, 2023. "Crude oil price shocks, volatility spillovers, and global systemic financial risk transmission mechanisms: Evidence from the stock and foreign exchange markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
  10. Jihad El Hokayem & Ibrahim Jamali & Ale Hejase, 2024. "A forecasting model for oil prices using a large set of economic indicators," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(5), pages 1615-1624, August.
  11. Kilian, Lutz, 2022. "Understanding the estimation of oil demand and oil supply elasticities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
  12. Carrillo-Maldonado, Paul & Díaz-Cassou, Javier, 2023. "An anatomy of external shocks in the Andean region," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
  13. Benk, Szilard & Gillman, Max, 2023. "Identifying money and inflation expectation shocks to real oil prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  14. Mollick, André Varella, 2025. "Risk, uncertainty, world business cycles, and the U.S. stock-oil relationship," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
  15. Nonejad, Nima, 2020. "An observation regarding Hamilton’s recent criticisms of Kilian’s global real economic activity index," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
  16. Palmén, Olli, 2020. "Sovereign default risk and credit supply: Evidence from the euro area," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
  17. Zeina Alsalman, 2021. "Does the source of oil supply shock matter in explaining the behavior of U.S. consumer spending and sentiment?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1491-1518, September.
  18. Hu, Zhepeng & Yan, Lei & Yuan, Jinghong & Etienne, Xiaoli, 2023. "Deconstructing Fertilizer Price Spikes: Evidence from Chinese Urea Fertilizer Market," 2023 Conference, April 24-25, 2023, St. Louis, Missouri 379028, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  19. Iania, Leonardo & Lyrio, Marco & Nersisyan, Liana, 2023. "Oil Price Shocks and Bond Risk Premia: Evidence from a Panel of 15 Countries," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2023002, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
  20. Hu, Zhepeng & Yan, Lei & Yuan, Jinghong & Etienne, Xiaoli, 2025. "Deconstructing fertilizer price spikes: Evidence from Chinese urea fertilizer market," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  21. Michał Rubaszek & Karol Szafranek, 2025. "The European energy crisis and the US natural gas market dynamics: a structural VAR investigation," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 22(1), pages 1-22, February.
  22. repec:bny:wpaper:0082 is not listed on IDEAS
  23. Paul Carrillo‐Maldonado, 2023. "Partial identification for growth regimes: The case of Latin American countries," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(3), pages 557-583, July.
  24. Kilian, Lutz, 2024. "How to construct monthly VAR proxies based on daily surprises in futures markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  25. Robin Braun, 2021. "The importance of supply and demand for oil prices: evidence from non-Gaussianity," Bank of England working papers 957, Bank of England.
  26. repec:bny:wpaper:0080 is not listed on IDEAS
  27. Li, Ye & Chen, Yiyan & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and crude oil price predictability: Novel decomposition ensemble approach based ternary interval number series," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  28. Kilian, Lutz, 2025. "Impulse response diagnostics for priors on parameters in structural vector autoregressions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
  29. Dalheimer, Bernhard & Herwartz, Helmut & Lange, Alexander, 2021. "The threat of oil market turmoils to food price stability in Sub-Saharan Africa," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  30. Iania, Leonardo & Lyrio, Marco & Nersisyan, Liana, 2024. "Oil price shocks and bond risk premia: Evidence from a panel of 15 countries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  31. Ryan, Rich & Michieka, Nyakundi, 2025. "Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike. A Replication Study of Kilian (American Economic Review, 2009)," Journal of Comments and Replications in Economics (JCRE), ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 4, pages 1-27.
  32. Rubaszek, Michał & Szafranek, Karol, 2025. "Modelling oil consumption in Baumeister and Hamilton’s (2019) model of the global oil market," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
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