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Forecasting Bitcoin volatility: The role of leverage effect and uncertainty

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Chan, Stephen & Chandrashekhar, Durga & Almazloum, Ward & Zhang, Yuanyuan & Lord, Nicholas & Osterrieder, Joerg & Chu, Jeffrey, 2024. "Stylized facts of metaverse non-fungible tokens," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 653(C).
  2. Jiang, Yonghong & Wu, Lanxin & Tian, Gengyu & Nie, He, 2021. "Do cryptocurrencies hedge against EPU and the equity market volatility during COVID-19? – New evidence from quantile coherency analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  3. Bergsli, Lykke Øverland & Lind, Andrea Falk & Molnár, Peter & Polasik, Michał, 2022. "Forecasting volatility of Bitcoin," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  4. Panpan Zhu & Xing Zhang & You Wu & Hao Zheng & Yinpeng Zhang, 2021. "Investor attention and cryptocurrency: Evidence from the Bitcoin market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(2), pages 1-28, February.
  5. Zhu, Sha & Liu, Qiuhong & Wang, Yan & Wei, Yu & Wei, Guiwu, 2019. "Which fear index matters for predicting US stock market volatilities: Text-counts or option based measurement?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
  6. Skander Slim & Ibrahim Tabche & Yosra Koubaa & Mohamed Osman & Andreas Karathanasopoulos, 2023. "Forecasting realized volatility of Bitcoin: The informative role of price duration," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1909-1929, November.
  7. Yaojie Zhang & Mengxi He & Danyan Wen & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting Bitcoin volatility: A new insight from the threshold regression model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 633-652, April.
  8. Muhammad Anas & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Larisa Yarovaya, 2024. "The use of high-frequency data in cryptocurrency research: a meta-review of literature with bibliometric analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-31, December.
  9. Fang, Tong & Su, Zhi & Yin, Libo, 2020. "Economic fundamentals or investor perceptions? The role of uncertainty in predicting long-term cryptocurrency volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  10. Sera Şanlı & Mehmet Balcılar & Mehmet Özmen, 2025. "Predicting the volatility of Bitcoin returns based on kernel regression," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 352(3), pages 505-542, September.
  11. Chunyi Lu & Zhuoqi Teng & Yu Gao & Renhong Wu & Md. Alamgir Hossain & Yuantao Fang, 2022. "Analysis of Early Warning of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuation and Value at Risk Measurement Based on Deep Learning," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(4), pages 1501-1524, April.
  12. Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Plíhal, Tomáš & Širaňová, Mária, 2020. "Impact of macroeconomic news, regulation and hacking exchange markets on the volatility of bitcoin," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  13. Nezir Köse & Hakan Yildirim & Emre Ünal & Boqiang Lin, 2024. "The Bitcoin price and Bitcoin price uncertainty: Evidence of Bitcoin price volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 673-695, April.
  14. Simona-Vasilica Oprea & Irina Alexandra Georgescu & Adela Bâra, 2024. "Is Bitcoin ready to be a widespread payment method? Using price volatility and setting strategies for merchants," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 1267-1305, June.
  15. Qiu, Yue & Qu, Shaoguang & Shi, Zhentao & Xie, Tian, 2025. "Predicting cryptocurrency volatility: The power of model clustering," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  16. Mokni, Khaled, 2021. "When, where, and how economic policy uncertainty predicts Bitcoin returns and volatility? A quantiles-based analysis," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 65-73.
  17. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "A Survey on Volatility Fluctuations in the Decentralized Cryptocurrency Financial Assets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-46, June.
  18. Al Mamun, Md & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Suleman, Muhammad Tahir & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2020. "Geopolitical risk, uncertainty and Bitcoin investment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
  19. Emon Kalyan Chowdhury & Mohammad Nayeem Abdullah, 2024. "Gauging Demand for Cryptocurrency over the Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 37-55, July.
  20. Ángeles Cebrián-Hernández & Enrique Jiménez-Rodríguez, 2021. "Modeling of the Bitcoin Volatility through Key Financial Environment Variables: An Application of Conditional Correlation MGARCH Models," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-16, January.
  21. Mokni, Khaled & Bouteska, Ahmed & Nakhli, Mohamed Sahbi, 2022. "Investor sentiment and Bitcoin relationship: A quantile-based analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  22. Alessio Brini & Jimmie Lenz, 2024. "A comparison of cryptocurrency volatility-benchmarking new and mature asset classes," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-38, December.
  23. Zied Ftiti & Wael Louhichi & Hachmi Ben Ameur, 2023. "Cryptocurrency volatility forecasting: What can we learn from the first wave of the COVID-19 outbreak?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 330(1), pages 665-690, November.
  24. Marinescu, Ion-Iulian & Mirza, Nawazish & Horobet, Alexandra & Belascu, Lucian, 2025. "Hedging uncertainty: Bitcoin's asymmetric diversification benefits in factor-based portfolios," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  25. Ahmed, Mohamed Shaker & El-Masry, Ahmed A. & Al-Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Kumar, Satish, 2024. "Cryptocurrency volatility: A review, synthesis, and research agenda," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  26. Anupam Dutta, 2025. "Assessing the Risk of Bitcoin Futures Market: New Evidence," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 12(2), pages 481-497, April.
  27. Jiqian Wang & Feng Ma & Elie Bouri & Yangli Guo, 2023. "Which factors drive Bitcoin volatility: Macroeconomic, technical, or both?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 970-988, July.
  28. Chikashi Tsuji, 2025. "The risk–return trade-off of Bitcoin: Evidence from regime-switching analysis," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, December.
  29. Xia, Yufei & Sang, Chong & He, Lingyun & Wang, Ziyao, 2023. "The role of uncertainty index in forecasting volatility of Bitcoin: Fresh evidence from GARCH-MIDAS approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  30. Alessio Brini & Jimmie Lenz, 2024. "A Comparison of Cryptocurrency Volatility-benchmarking New and Mature Asset Classes," Papers 2404.04962, arXiv.org.
  31. Aras, Serkan & Özdemir, Mehmet Ozan & Çılgın, Cihan, 2025. "Uncertainty or investor attention: Which has more impact on Bitcoin volatility?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(PB).
  32. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "The Nexus of Sophisticated Digital Assets with Economic Policy Uncertainty: A Survey of Empirical Findings and an Empirical Investigation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-25, May.
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