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The impact of speculation on commodity futures markets – A review of the findings of 100 empirical studies

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Carter, Colin A. & Steinbach, Sandro, 2024. "Did grain futures prices overreact to the Russia–Ukraine war due to herding?," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
  2. Julyerme M. Tonin & Carlos M. R. Vieira & Rui M. de Sousa Fragoso & João G. Martines Filho, 2020. "Conditional correlation and volatility between spot and futures markets for soybean and corn," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(4), pages 707-724, October.
  3. Dedi, Valentina & Mandilaras, Alex, 2022. "Trader positions and the price of oil in the futures market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 448-460.
  4. Carlotta Penone & Elisa Giampietri & Samuele Trestini, 2022. "Futures–spot price transmission in EU corn markets," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(3), pages 679-709, July.
  5. Juan Ignacio Guzmán & Enrique Silva, 2018. "Copper price determination: fundamentals versus non-fundamentals," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 31(3), pages 283-300, October.
  6. Julia S. Mehlitz & Benjamin R. Auer, 2021. "Time‐varying dynamics of expected shortfall in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 895-925, June.
  7. Jean-François Carpantier, 2021. "Commodity Prices in Empirical Research," Dynamic Modeling and Econometrics in Economics and Finance, in: Gilles Dufrénot & Takashi Matsuki (ed.), Recent Econometric Techniques for Macroeconomic and Financial Data, pages 199-227, Springer.
  8. Cagatay Basarir & Mehmet Fatih Bayramoglu, 2018. "Global Macroeconomic Determinants of the Domestic Commodity Derivatives," Contributions to Economics, in: Hasan Dincer & Ümit Hacioglu & Serhat Yüksel (ed.), Global Approaches in Financial Economics, Banking, and Finance, chapter 0, pages 331-349, Springer.
  9. repec:osf:osfxxx:4rydm_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
  10. Irwin, Scott H., 2020. "Trilogy for troubleshooting convergence: Manipulation, structural imbalance, and storage rates," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
  11. Fizaine, Florian, 2018. "Toward generalization of futures contracts for raw materials: A probabilistic answer applied to metal markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 379-388.
  12. Don Bredin & Valerio Potì & Enrique Salvador, 2022. "Food Prices, Ethics and Forms of Speculation," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 179(2), pages 495-509, August.
  13. Filippo Natoli, 2021. "Financialization Of Commodities Before And After The Great Financial Crisis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 488-511, April.
  14. Wimmer, Thomas & Geyer-Klingeberg, Jerome & Hütter, Marie & Schmid, Florian & Rathgeber, Andreas, 2021. "The impact of speculation on commodity prices: A Meta-Granger analysis," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
  15. Haase, Marco & Huss, Matthias, 2018. "Guilty speculators? Range-based conditional volatility in a cross-section of wheat futures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(C), pages 29-46.
  16. Tröster, Bernhard & Staritz, Cornelia & Grumiller, Jan & Maile, Felix, 2019. "Commodity dependence, global commodity chains, price volatility and financialisation: Price-setting and stabilisation in the cocoa sectors in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana," Working Papers 62, Austrian Foundation for Development Research (ÖFSE).
  17. Dahl, Roy Endré & Jonsson, Erlendur, 2018. "Volatility spillover in seafood markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 44-59.
  18. Carter, Colin A. & Revoredo-Giha, Cesar, 2023. "Financialization and speculators risk premia in commodity futures markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  19. Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2018. "Mapping algorithms, agricultural futures, and the relationship between commodity investment flows and crude oil futures prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 486-504.
  20. Hang Shao & Zhou Li, 2025. "The predictive effect of heterogeneous investor behavior on commodity pricing," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
  21. Sandro Steinbach & Yasin Yildirim, 2024. "Agricultural commodity market response to Russia's withdrawal from the grain deal," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(3), pages 1004-1016, September.
  22. Yan, Lei & Irwin, Scott H. & Sanders, Dwight R., 2017. "Identifying the Impact of Financialization in Commodity Futures Prices from Index Rebalancing," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258504, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  23. Marc J. M. Bohmann & David Michayluk & Vinay Patel, 2019. "Price discovery in commodity derivatives: Speculation or hedging?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(9), pages 1107-1121, September.
  24. Long, Shaobo & Guo, Jiaqi, 2022. "Infectious disease equity market volatility, geopolitical risk, speculation, and commodity returns: Comparative analysis of five epidemic outbreaks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  25. Go, You-How & Lau, Wee-Yeap, 2017. "Investor demand, market efficiency and spot-futures relation: Further evidence from crude palm oil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 135-146.
  26. Algieri, Bernardina & Leccadito, Arturo, 2019. "Price volatility and speculative activities in futures commodity markets: A combination of combinations of p-values test," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 40-54.
  27. Nguyen, Quynh Nga & Aboura, Sofiane & Chevallier, Julien & Zhang, Lyuyuan & Zhu, Bangzhu, 2020. "Local Gaussian correlations in financial and commodity markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 285(1), pages 306-323.
  28. Aiube, Fernando Antonio Lucena & Faquieri, Winicius Botelho, 2019. "Can Gaussian factor models of commodity prices capture the financialization phenomenon?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  29. Soohyeon Kim & Jungho Baek & Eunnyeong Heo, 2020. "Crude oil inventories: The two faces of Janus?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 1003-1018, August.
  30. Nicholas Mulligan & Daan Steenkamp, 2018. "Reassessing the information content of the Commitments of Traders positioning data for exchange rate changes," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Analytical Notes series AN2018/03, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
  31. Nonejad, Nima, 2019. "Forecasting aggregate equity return volatility using crude oil price volatility: The role of nonlinearities and asymmetries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  32. Debasish Maitra & Varun Dawar, 2019. "Return and Volatility Spillover among Commodity Futures, Stock Market and Exchange Rate: Evidence from India," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 20(1), pages 214-237, February.
  33. Awasthi, Kritika & Ahmad, Wasim & Rahman, Abdul & Phani, B.V., 2020. "When US sneezes, clichés spread: How do the commodity index funds react then?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  34. Mayer, Herbert & Rathgeber, Andreas & Wanner, Markus, 2017. "Financialization of metal markets: Does futures trading influence spot prices and volatility?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 300-316.
  35. Bosch, David & Smimou, K., 2022. "Traders’ motivation and hedging pressure in commodity futures markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  36. Fabio Gaetano Santeramo & Emilia Lamonaca & Francesco Contò & Gianluca Nardone & Antonio Stasi, 2018. "Drivers of grain price volatility: a cursory critical review," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 64(8), pages 347-356.
  37. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Filippidis, Michail & Filis, George & Gabauer, David, 2021. "A closer look into the global determinants of oil price volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
  38. Adams, Zeno & Collot, Solène & Kartsakli, Maria, 2020. "Have commodities become a financial asset? Evidence from ten years of Financialization," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  39. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk connectedness and optimal investment strategies between international oil and commodity futures markets: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  40. Gutierrez, Juan P. & Vianna, Andre C., 2020. "Price effects of steel commodities on worldwide stock market returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  41. Xiaochun Liu, 2018. "Structural Volatility Impulse Response Function and Asymptotic Inference," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 316-339.
  42. Polat, Onur & Ertuğrul, Hasan Murat & Sakarya, Burçhan & Akgül, Ali, 2024. "TVP-VAR based time and frequency domain food & energy commodities connectedness an analysis for financial/geopolitical turmoil episodes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
  43. Guo, Jin & Tanaka, Tetsuji, 2022. "Do biofuel production and financial speculation in agricultural commodities influence African food prices? New evidence from a TVP-VAR extended joint connectedness approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  44. Hao, Jing & He, Feng & Liu-Chen, Baiao & Li, Zihe, 2021. "Price discovery and its determinants for the Chinese soybean options and futures markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
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