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Are stock markets really efficient? Evidence of the adaptive market hypothesis

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. James Nguyen & Wei-Xuan Li & Clara Chia-Sheng Chen, 2022. "Mean Reversions in Major Developed Stock Markets: Recent Evidence from Unit Root, Spectral and Abnormal Return Studies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-20, April.
  2. Shah, Anand & Bahri, Anu, 2022. "Metanomics: Adaptive market and volatility behaviour in Metaverse," MPRA Paper 114442, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Bouteska, Ahmed & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "COVID-19 and stock returns: Evidence from the Markov switching dependence approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  4. Duan, Kun & Li, Zeming & Urquhart, Andrew & Ye, Jinqiang, 2021. "Dynamic efficiency and arbitrage potential in Bitcoin: A long-memory approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  5. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Rise and fall of calendar anomalies over a century," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 181-205.
  6. Duan, Kun & Zhang, Liya & Urquhart, Andrew & Yao, Kai & Peng, Long, 2024. "Do clean and dirty cryptocurrencies connect financial assets differently? The perspective of market inefficiency," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PB).
  7. Tahmina Akhter & Othman Yong, 2021. "Can Adaptive Market Hypothesis Explain the Existence of Seasonal Anomalies? Evidence from Dhaka Stock Exchange, Bangladesh," Contemporary Economics, Vizja University, vol. 15(2), April.
  8. Ashok Chanabasangouda Patil & Shailesh Rastogi, 2019. "Time-Varying Price–Volume Relationship and Adaptive Market Efficiency: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-18, June.
  9. Leonard Grebe & Dirk Schiereck, 2024. "Day-of-the-week effect: a meta-analysis," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 14(4), pages 1057-1094, December.
  10. Stefanescu, Răzvan & Dumitriu, Ramona, 2020. "Efectul Turn-of-the-Year pe piaţa valutară din România [The Turn-of-the-Year Effect in the Romanian foreign exchange market]," MPRA Paper 99365, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Mar 2020.
  11. Fabio S. Dias & Gareth W. Peters, 2020. "A Non-parametric Test and Predictive Model for Signed Path Dependence," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(2), pages 461-498, August.
  12. Charles O. Manasseh & Nnah M. Iroha & Kingsley I. Okere & Ifeoma C. Nwakoby & Ogochukwu C. Okanya & Nnenna Nwonye & Onuselogu Odidi & Oliver I. Inyiama, 2022. "Application of Markov chain to share price movement in Nigeria (1985–2019)," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-14, December.
  13. Kiran Sharma & Abhijit Dutta & Rupak Mukherjee, 2025. "Identification of phase correlations in Financial Stock Market Turbulence," Papers 2508.20105, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.
  14. Ali Almail & Fahad Almudhaf, 2017. "Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Evidence from three centuries of UK data," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 6(2), pages 48-53.
  15. Boya, Christophe M., 2019. "From efficient markets to adaptive markets: Evidence from the French stock exchange," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 156-165.
  16. Jeremy Eng-Tuck Cheah & Thong Dao & Haozhe Su, 2024. "Measuring cryptocurrency moment convergence using distance analysis," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 332(1), pages 533-577, January.
  17. Miklesh Prasad Yadav & Atul Kumar & Vidhi Tyagi, 2023. "Adaptive Market Hypothesis and Cointegration: An Evidence of the Cryptocurrency Market," Contemporary Studies in Economic and Financial Analysis, in: Smart Analytics, Artificial Intelligence and Sustainable Performance Management in a Global Digitalised Economy, volume 110, pages 27-43, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  18. Badal Khan & Muhammad Aqil & Syed Hasnain Alam Kazmi & Syed Imran Zaman, 2023. "Day‐of‐the‐week effect and market liquidity: A comparative study from emerging stock markets of Asia†," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 544-561, January.
  19. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Bouri, Elie & Silva, José W.L. & Bejan, Lucian & de Araujo, Fernando H.A., 2022. "The resilience of cryptocurrency market efficiency to COVID-19 shock," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 607(C).
  20. Elie Bouri & Tsangyao Chang & Rangan Gupta, 2016. "Testing the Efficiency of the Wine Market using Unit Root Tests with Sharp and Smooth Breaks," Working Papers 201664, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  21. Haarhaus, Tim & Strunk, Guido & Liening, Andreas, 2020. "Assessing the complex dynamics of entrepreneurial ecosystems: A nonstationary approach," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 14(C).
  22. Zaremba, Adam & Kizys, Renatas & Raza, Muhammad Wajid, 2020. "The long-run reversal in the long run: Insights from two centuries of international equity returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 177-199.
  23. Changqing Luo & Siyuan Fan & Qi Zhang, 2017. "Investigating the Influence of Green Credit on Operational Efficiency and Financial Performance Based on Hybrid Econometric Models," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-19, November.
  24. Bock, J. & Geissel, S., 2024. "Evolution of stock market efficiency in Europe: Evidence from measuring periods of inefficiency," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).
  25. Krishnamoorthy Charith & A. A. Azeez, 2025. "Exploring Herding Instincts Through the Lens of Adaptive Market Hypothesis: Insights from a Frontier Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 32(4), pages 1211-1241, December.
  26. Farman Ullah Khan & Faridoon Khan & Parvez Ahmed Shaikh, 2023. "Forecasting returns volatility of cryptocurrency by applying various deep learning algorithms," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-11, December.
  27. Hill, Jonathan B. & Motegi, Kaiji, 2019. "Testing the white noise hypothesis of stock returns," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 231-242.
  28. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Historical evolution of monthly anomalies in international stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  29. Thiago Christiano Silva & Benjamin Miranda Tabak & Idamar Magalhães Ferreira, 2019. "Modeling Investor Behavior Using Machine Learning: Mean-Reversion and Momentum Trading Strategies," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-14, December.
  30. Abudy, Menachem Meni & Kaplanski, Guy & Mugerman, Yevgeny, 2024. "Market timing with moving average distance: International evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  31. Amirul Ammar Anuar & Ahmad Azam Bin Sulaiman & Mohammad Taqiuddin Bin Mohamad, 2025. "Comparative analysis of AI-driven versus human-managed equity funds across market trends," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, December.
  32. Zaremba, Adam & Cakici, Nusret & Bianchi, Robert J. & Long, Huaigang, 2023. "Interest rate changes and the cross-section of global equity returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
  33. Janusz Brzeszczyński & Binam Ghimire & Tooraj Jamasb & Graham McIntosh, 2019. "Socially Responsible Investment and Market Performance: The Case of Energy and Resource Companies," The Energy Journal, , vol. 40(5), pages 17-72, September.
  34. Xiong, Xiong & Meng, Yongqiang & Li, Xiao & Shen, Dehua, 2019. "An empirical analysis of the Adaptive Market Hypothesis with calendar effects:Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
  35. Madhur Bhatia, 2024. "Impact of the Local and the Global Crises on Stock Market Efficiency," Millennial Asia, , vol. 15(4), pages 572-596, December.
  36. Corzo, Teresa & Martin-Bujack, Karin & Portela, Jose & Rodriguez-Gallego, Alejandro, 2025. "Floating exchange rate efficiency: Grouping patterns and pandemic impacts," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
  37. Fabian Moodley, 2025. "The macroeconomic determinants of South African sectoral returns: Evidence from Bull and Bear Regimes," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 14(7), pages 387-400, November.
  38. Ren, Xiaohang & Xiao, Ya & Duan, Kun & Urquhart, Andrew, 2025. "Corrigendum to “Spillover effects between fossil energy and green markets: Evidence from informational inefficiency” [Energy EconomicsVolume 131, March 2024, 107317]," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  39. Sehrish Kayani & Usman Ayub & Imran Abbas Jadoon, 2019. "Adaptive Market Hypothesis and Artificial Neural Networks: Evidence from Pakistan," Global Regional Review, Humanity Only, vol. 4(2), pages 190-203, June.
  40. Santi, Caterina, 2023. "Investor climate sentiment and financial markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  41. Diana Saldanha & T. Mallikarjunappa & Kofi Mintah Oware, 2025. "Determinants of Adaptive Behaviour in Stock Market: A Review," Vision, , vol. 29(1), pages 112-124, February.
  42. O'Connor, Fergal A. & Lucey, Brian M., 2023. "The efficiency of the London Gold Fixing: From Gold Standard to hoarded commodity (1919-68)," eabh Papers 23-01, The European Association for Banking and Financial History (EABH).
  43. Hřebačka, Viktor, 2025. "Analyzing market efficiency: The role of business cycles, risk aversion, and Occam’s razor in the Adaptive Market Hypothesis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  44. Shangkun Deng & Haoran Yu & Chenyang Wei & Tianxiang Yang & Shimada Tatsuro, 2021. "The profitability of Ichimoku Kinkohyo based trading rules in stock markets and FX markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5321-5336, October.
  45. Biswabhusan Bhuyan & Subhamitra Patra & Ranjan Kumar Bhuian, 2020. "Market Adaptability and Evolving Predictability of Stock Returns: An Evidence from India," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 27(4), pages 605-619, December.
  46. Tran, Vu Le & Leirvik, Thomas, 2020. "Efficiency in the markets of crypto-currencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
  47. Ferreira, Joaquim & Morais, Flávio, 2023. "Predict or to be predicted? A transfer entropy view between adaptive green markets, structural shocks and sentiment index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  48. Pınar Evrim Mandacı & F. Dilvin Taskın & Zeliha Can Ergun, 2019. "Adaptive Market Hypothesis," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(4), pages 84-101.
  49. Vilija Aleknevičienė & Vaida Klasauskaitė & Eglė Aleknevičiūtė, 2022. "Behavior of calendar anomalies and the adaptive market hypothesis: evidence from the Baltic stock markets," Journal of Baltic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(2), pages 187-210, April.
  50. Ben Moews & Gbenga Ibikunle, 2020. "Predictive intraday correlations in stable and volatile market environments: Evidence from deep learning," Papers 2002.10385, arXiv.org.
  51. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hernandez, Jose Areola & Hanif, Waqas & Kayani, Ghulam Mujtaba, 2018. "Intraday return inefficiency and long memory in the volatilities of forex markets and the role of trading volume," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 506(C), pages 433-450.
  52. Andr'es L. Su'arez-Cetrulo & Alejandro Cervantes & David Quintana, 2025. "ProteuS: A Generative Approach for Simulating Concept Drift in Financial Markets," Papers 2509.11844, arXiv.org.
  53. Grebe, Leonard & Schiereck, Dirk, 2025. "Day-of-the-week effect: a meta-analysis," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 154180, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
  54. Fabian MOODLEY, 2024. "Bond Indices Maturities and Changing Macroeconomic Conditions: Evidence from South Africa," Journal of Economics and Financial Analysis, Tripal Publishing House, vol. 8(1), pages 57-73.
  55. Shimeng Shi & Jia Zhai & Yingying Wu, 2024. "Informational inefficiency on bitcoin futures," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(6), pages 642-667, April.
  56. Meo, Muhammad Saeed & Ben Zaied, Younes & Afshan, Sahar & Anees, Alvena, 2025. "Capitalizing on sustainability: China's green finance strategy for achieving environmentally resilient wastewater treatment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  57. Christophe Musitelli Boya, 2025. "Time-Varying Efficiency and Economic Shocks: A Rolling DFA Test in Western European Stock Markets," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-24, August.
  58. Moews, Ben & Ibikunle, Gbenga, 2020. "Predictive intraday correlations in stable and volatile market environments: Evidence from deep learning," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 547(C).
  59. Ke Meng & Shouhao Li, 2021. "The adaptive market hypothesis and high frequency trading," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(12), pages 1-19, December.
  60. Richard Apau & Athenia Bongani Sibindi, 2025. "Determinants of bank deposits under changing economic conditions in South Africa," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 14(2), pages 241-251, March.
  61. Akbar, Muhammad & Ullah, Ihsan & Ali, Shahid & Rehman, Naser, 2024. "Adaptive market hypothesis: A comparison of Islamic and conventional stock indices," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 460-477.
  62. Nie, Chun-Xiao, 2025. "Unveiling complex nonlinear dynamics in stock markets through topological data analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 680(C).
  63. Tran, Vu Le & Leirvik, Thomas, 2019. "A simple but powerful measure of market efficiency," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 141-151.
  64. repec:jaf:journl:v:13:y:2022:i:2:n:462 is not listed on IDEAS
  65. Manahov, Viktor & Urquhart, Andrew, 2021. "The efficiency of Bitcoin: A strongly typed genetic programming approach to smart electronic Bitcoin markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  66. Hachmi Ben Ameur & Zied Ftiti & Eric Le Fur, 2024. "What can we learn from the analysis of the fine wines market efficiency?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 703-718, January.
  67. Saurav Karki, 2026. "Time-Varying Efficiency and Volatility Regimes in Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE): Evidence from Daily Data (1995-2025) under the Adaptive Market Hypothesis," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 37(1), pages 28-58, April.
  68. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko & Madigu, Godfrey & Romero-Rojo, Fatima, 2020. "Volatility persistence in cryptocurrency markets under structural breaks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 680-691.
  69. Rodriguez, E. & Alvarez-Ramirez, J., 2021. "Time-varying cross-correlation between trading volume and returns in US stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
  70. Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Havrylina, Ahniia & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Calendar anomalies in passion investments: Price patterns and profit opportunities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
  71. Onur Özdemir, 2022. "Cue the volatility spillover in the cryptocurrency markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from DCC-GARCH and wavelet analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-38, December.
  72. Paidamoyo Aurleen Shenjere & Sune Ferreira-Schenk & Fabian Moodley, 2025. "Does Investor Sentiment Influence South African ETF Flows During Different Market Conditions?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-19, January.
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