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An adaptive hybrid model for short term electricity price forecasting

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  1. Lu, Xin & Qiu, Jing & Lei, Gang & Zhu, Jianguo, 2022. "Scenarios modelling for forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: Case studies in Australia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
  2. Hasnain Iftikhar & Josue E. Turpo-Chaparro & Paulo Canas Rodrigues & Javier Linkolk López-Gonzales, 2023. "Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Prices for the Italian Electricity Market Using a New Decomposition—Combination Technique," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-23, September.
  3. Zhao, Xinyu & Bai, Mingliang & Yang, Xusheng & Liu, Jinfu & Yu, Daren & Chang, Juntao, 2021. "Short-term probabilistic predictions of wind multi-parameter based on one-dimensional convolutional neural network with attention mechanism and multivariate copula distribution estimation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
  4. He, Xinbo & Wang, Yong & Zhang, Yuyang & Ma, Xin & Wu, Wenqing & Zhang, Lei, 2022. "A novel structure adaptive new information priority discrete grey prediction model and its application in renewable energy generation forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 325(C).
  5. Meng, Anbo & Wang, Peng & Zhai, Guangsong & Zeng, Cong & Chen, Shun & Yang, Xiaoyi & Yin, Hao, 2022. "Electricity price forecasting with high penetration of renewable energy using attention-based LSTM network trained by crisscross optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
  6. Chengqing, Yu & Guangxi, Yan & Chengming, Yu & Yu, Zhang & Xiwei, Mi, 2023. "A multi-factor driven spatiotemporal wind power prediction model based on ensemble deep graph attention reinforcement learning networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
  7. Tahmasebifar, Reza & Moghaddam, Mohsen Parsa & Sheikh-El-Eslami, Mohammad Kazem & Kheirollahi, Reza, 2020. "A new hybrid model for point and probabilistic forecasting of wind power," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
  8. Wu, Zheng & Zhang, Yue & Dong, Ze, 2023. "Prediction of NOx emission concentration from coal-fired power plant based on joint knowledge and data driven," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
  9. Li, Jinchao & Wu, Qianqian & Tian, Yu & Fan, Liguo, 2021. "Monthly Henry Hub natural gas spot prices forecasting using variational mode decomposition and deep belief network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
  10. Xiong, Xiaoping & Qing, Guohua, 2023. "A hybrid day-ahead electricity price forecasting framework based on time series," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
  11. Dorel Mihai Paraschiv & Narciz Balasoiu & Souhir Ben-Amor & Raul Cristian Bag, 2023. "Hybridising Neurofuzzy Model the Seasonal Autoregressive Models for Electricity Price Forecasting on Germany’s Spot Market," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 25(63), pages 463-463, April.
  12. Lu, Renzhi & Bai, Ruichang & Huang, Yuan & Li, Yuting & Jiang, Junhui & Ding, Yuemin, 2021. "Data-driven real-time price-based demand response for industrial facilities energy management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
  13. Demir, Sumeyra & Mincev, Krystof & Kok, Koen & Paterakis, Nikolaos G., 2021. "Data augmentation for time series regression: Applying transformations, autoencoders and adversarial networks to electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
  14. Yin, Linfei & Qiu, Yao, 2022. "Neural network dynamic differential control for long-term price guidance mechanism of flexible energy service providers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
  15. Matheus Henrique Dal Molin Ribeiro & Stéfano Frizzo Stefenon & José Donizetti de Lima & Ademir Nied & Viviana Cocco Mariani & Leandro dos Santos Coelho, 2020. "Electricity Price Forecasting Based on Self-Adaptive Decomposition and Heterogeneous Ensemble Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-22, October.
  16. Laiqing Yan & Zutai Yan & Zhenwen Li & Ning Ma & Ran Li & Jian Qin, 2023. "Electricity Market Price Prediction Based on Quadratic Hybrid Decomposition and THPO Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-18, July.
  17. Heydari, Azim & Majidi Nezhad, Meysam & Pirshayan, Elmira & Astiaso Garcia, Davide & Keynia, Farshid & De Santoli, Livio, 2020. "Short-term electricity price and load forecasting in isolated power grids based on composite neural network and gravitational search optimization algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
  18. Daniel Manfre Jaimes & Manuel Zamudio López & Hamidreza Zareipour & Mike Quashie, 2023. "A Hybrid Model for Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting considering Price Spikes," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-23, July.
  19. Ghimire, Sujan & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Casillas-Pérez, David & Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho, 2024. "Two-step deep learning framework with error compensation technique for short-term, half-hourly electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PA).
  20. Sergio Cantillo-Luna & Ricardo Moreno-Chuquen & Jesus Lopez-Sotelo & David Celeita, 2023. "An Intra-Day Electricity Price Forecasting Based on a Probabilistic Transformer Neural Network Architecture," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-24, September.
  21. Yang, Wendong & Sun, Shaolong & Hao, Yan & Wang, Shouyang, 2022. "A novel machine learning-based electricity price forecasting model based on optimal model selection strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
  22. Wu, Binrong & Wang, Lin & Zeng, Yu-Rong, 2022. "Interpretable wind speed prediction with multivariate time series and temporal fusion transformers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
  23. Elmore, Clay T. & Dowling, Alexander W., 2021. "Learning spatiotemporal dynamics in wholesale energy markets with dynamic mode decomposition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
  24. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
  25. Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
  26. Chai, Shanglei & Li, Qiang & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian M., 2024. "Forecasting electricity prices from the state-of-the-art modeling technology and the price determinant perspectives," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
  27. Acikgoz, Hakan & Budak, Umit & Korkmaz, Deniz & Yildiz, Ceyhun, 2021. "WSFNet: An efficient wind speed forecasting model using channel attention-based densely connected convolutional neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
  28. Jialin Liu & Chen Gong & Suhua Chen & Nanrun Zhou, 2023. "Multi-Step-Ahead Wind Speed Forecast Method Based on Outlier Correction, Optimized Decomposition, and DLinear Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-26, June.
  29. Yin, Wanjun & Ji, Jianbo & Wen, Tao & Zhang, Chao, 2023. "Study on orderly charging strategy of EV with load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
  30. Grzegorz Marcjasz, 2020. "Forecasting Electricity Prices Using Deep Neural Networks: A Robust Hyper-Parameter Selection Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
  31. Li, Dan & Jiang, Fuxin & Chen, Min & Qian, Tao, 2022. "Multi-step-ahead wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid decomposition method and temporal convolutional networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
  32. Jiang, Ping & Liu, Zhenkun & Niu, Xinsong & Zhang, Lifang, 2021. "A combined forecasting system based on statistical method, artificial neural networks, and deep learning methods for short-term wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
  33. Wen, Shizhao & Wang, Hongzeng & Qian, Jinhua & Men, Xuanyu, 2023. "A novel combined model based on echo state network optimized by whale optimization algorithm for blast furnace gas prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
  34. Liu, Luyao & Bai, Feifei & Su, Chenyu & Ma, Cuiping & Yan, Ruifeng & Li, Hailong & Sun, Qie & Wennersten, Ronald, 2022. "Forecasting the occurrence of extreme electricity prices using a multivariate logistic regression model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
  35. Krishna Prakash N. & Jai Govind Singh, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting using hybrid deep learned networks," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1750-1771, November.
  36. Lu, Renzhi & Bai, Ruichang & Ding, Yuemin & Wei, Min & Jiang, Junhui & Sun, Mingyang & Xiao, Feng & Zhang, Hai-Tao, 2021. "A hybrid deep learning-based online energy management scheme for industrial microgrid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
  37. Yang, Weifei & Xiao, Changlai & Zhang, Zhihao & Liang, Xiujuan, 2022. "Identification of the formation temperature field of the southern Songliao Basin, China based on a deep belief network," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 32-42.
  38. Wang, Xuguang & Ren, Huan & Zhai, Junhai & Xing, Hongjie & Su, Jie, 2022. "Adaptive support segment based short-term wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
  39. Banaś, Jan & Utnik-Banaś, Katarzyna, 2021. "Evaluating a seasonal autoregressive moving average model with an exogenous variable for short-term timber price forecasting," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  40. Fang Guo & Shangyun Deng & Weijia Zheng & An Wen & Jinfeng Du & Guangshan Huang & Ruiyang Wang, 2022. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Based on the Two-Layer VMD Decomposition Technique and SSA-LSTM," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-20, November.
  41. Hong, Ying-Yi & Satriani, Thursy Rienda Aulia, 2020. "Day-ahead spatiotemporal wind speed forecasting using robust design-based deep learning neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  42. Stefano Frizzo Stefenon & Laio Oriel Seman & Viviana Cocco Mariani & Leandro dos Santos Coelho, 2023. "Aggregating Prophet and Seasonal Trend Decomposition for Time Series Forecasting of Italian Electricity Spot Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-18, January.
  43. Monjazeb, Mohammad Reza & Amiri, Hossein & Movahedi, Akram, 2024. "Wholesale electricity price forecasting by Quantile Regression and Kalman Filter method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
  44. Zhou, Yilin & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan & Zhao, Weigang, 2022. "Short-term wind power prediction optimized by multi-objective dragonfly algorithm based on variational mode decomposition," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
  45. Jiang, Ping & Liu, Zhenkun & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Lifang, 2021. "Decomposition-selection-ensemble forecasting system for energy futures price forecasting based on multi-objective version of chaos game optimization algorithm," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  46. Heidarpanah, Mohammadreza & Hooshyaripor, Farhad & Fazeli, Meysam, 2023. "Daily electricity price forecasting using artificial intelligence models in the Iranian electricity market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
  47. Wang, Xuguang & Li, Xiao & Su, Jie, 2023. "Distribution drift-adaptive short-term wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
  48. Ershen Wang & Caimiao Sun & Chuanyun Wang & Pingping Qu & Yufeng Huang & Tao Pang, 2021. "A satellite selection algorithm based on adaptive simulated annealing particle swarm optimization for the BeiDou Navigation Satellite System/Global Positioning System receiver," International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks, , vol. 17(7), pages 15501477211, July.
  49. Singh, Priyanka & Kottath, Rahul, 2022. "Influencer-defaulter mutation-based optimization algorithms for predicting electricity prices," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  50. Yang, Rui & Liu, Hui & Nikitas, Nikolaos & Duan, Zhu & Li, Yanfei & Li, Ye, 2022. "Short-term wind speed forecasting using deep reinforcement learning with improved multiple error correction approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
  51. Li, Yanting & Wu, Zhenyu & Su, Yan, 2023. "Adaptive short-term wind power forecasting with concept drifts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
  52. Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
  53. Li, Yanhui & Sun, Kaixuan & Yao, Qi & Wang, Lin, 2024. "A dual-optimization wind speed forecasting model based on deep learning and improved dung beetle optimization algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
  54. AL-Alimi, Dalal & AlRassas, Ayman Mutahar & Al-qaness, Mohammed A.A. & Cai, Zhihua & Aseeri, Ahmad O. & Abd Elaziz, Mohamed & Ewees, Ahmed A., 2023. "TLIA: Time-series forecasting model using long short-term memory integrated with artificial neural networks for volatile energy markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 343(C).
  55. Shao, Zhen & Yang, Yudie & Zheng, Qingru & Zhou, Kaile & Liu, Chen & Yang, Shanlin, 2022. "A pattern classification methodology for interval forecasts of short-term electricity prices based on hybrid deep neural networks: A comparative analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
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