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Modeling the Size of Wars: From Billiard Balls to Sandpiles

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  1. Christian Adam, 2016. "Simulating policy diffusion through learning: Reducing the risk of false positive conclusions," Journal of Theoretical Politics, , vol. 28(3), pages 497-519, July.
  2. Miranda Luiz C.M. & Perondi Leonel F. & Gleditsch Kristian Skrede, 2016. "The Evolution of Civil War Severity, 1816–2005," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 22(3), pages 247-276, August.
  3. Garcia-Bernardo, Javier & Dodds, Peter Sheridan & Johnson, Neil F., 2016. "Quantitative patterns in drone wars," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 443(C), pages 380-384.
  4. Alvarez-Ramirez Jose & Rodriguez Eduardo & Tyrtania Leonardo & Urrea-Garcìa Galo R, 2010. "Regime-Transitions in the 2003-2010 Iraq War: An Approach Based on Correlations of Daily Fatalities," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 1-41, December.
  5. Céline Cunen & Nils Lid Hjort & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, 2020. "Statistical sightings of better angels: Analysing the distribution of battle-deaths in interstate conflict over time," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 57(2), pages 221-234, March.
  6. Martin Neumann, 2012. "Modelling the Dynamics of Securizitating National Identities," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, vol. 10(1), pages 28-49.
  7. Brunk, Gregory G. & Hunter, Kennith G., 2008. "An ecological perspective on interest groups and economic stagnation," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 194-212, February.
  8. Nils B. Weidmann, 2016. "Micro-cleavages and violence in civil wars: A computational assessment," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 33(5), pages 539-558, November.
  9. Aaron Clauset & Maxwell Young & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, 2007. "On the Frequency of Severe Terrorist Events," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 51(1), pages 58-87, February.
  10. Michele Campolieti, 2021. "Strikes in British Coal Mining, 1893–1940: Testing Models of Strikes," Industrial Relations: A Journal of Economy and Society, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 243-273, April.
  11. Burgess, Matthew G. & Carrella, Ernesto & Drexler, Michael & Axtell, Robert L. & Bailey, Richard M. & Watson, James R. & Cabral, Reniel B. & Clemence, Michaela & Costello, Christopher & Dorsett, Chris, 2018. "Opportunities for agent-based modeling in human dimensions of fisheries," SocArXiv gzhm5, Center for Open Science.
  12. Kyle Bahr & Masami Nakagawa, 2017. "The effect of bidirectional opinion diffusion on social license to operate," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 1235-1245, August.
  13. Pilwon Kim, 2017. "Evolution of Cooperation through Power Law Distributed Conflicts," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-7, January.
  14. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
    • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
  15. Michael Spagat & Neil Johnson & Stijn van Weezel, 2017. "David Versus Goliath: Fundamental Patterns and Predictions in Modern Wars and Terrorist Campaigns," Working Papers 201721, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
  16. Louis Chauvel, 2016. "The Intensity and Shape of Inequality: The ABG Method of Distributional Analysis," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 62(1), pages 52-68, March.
  17. Cirillo, Pasquale & Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, 2016. "On the statistical properties and tail risk of violent conflicts," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 452(C), pages 29-45.
  18. Aaron Clauset & Frederik W. Wiegel, 2010. "A Generalized Aggregation-Disintegration Model for the Frequency of Severe Terrorist Attacks," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 54(1), pages 179-197, February.
  19. Pierpaolo Andriani & Bill McKelvey, 2007. "Beyond Gaussian averages: redirecting international business and management research toward extreme events and power laws," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 38(7), pages 1212-1230, December.
  20. Henry Farrell & Daniel Drezner, 2008. "The power and politics of blogs," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 15-30, January.
  21. Rafael González-Val, 2016. "War Size Distribution: Empirical Regularities Behind Conflicts," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(6), pages 838-853, November.
  22. Asif, Muhammad & Hussain, Zawar & Asghar, Zahid & Hussain, Muhammad Irfan & Raftab, Mariya & Shah, Said Farooq & Khan, Akbar Ali, 2021. "A statistical evidence of power law distribution in the upper tail of world billionaires’ data 2010–20," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).
  23. Mikael Sandberg, 2011. "Soft Power, World System Dynamics, and Democratization: A Bass Model of Democracy Diffusion 1800-2000," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 14(1), pages 1-4.
  24. Campolieti, Michele & Ramos, Arturo, 2021. "The distribution of strike size: Empirical evidence from Europe and North America in the 19th and 20th centuries," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 563(C).
  25. Dmitry S. Zhukov & Valery V. Kanishchev & Sergey K. Lyamin, 2016. "Application of the Theory of Self-Organized Criticality to the Investigation of Historical Processes," SAGE Open, , vol. 6(4), pages 21582440166, December.
  26. James N. Rosenau, 2007. "Governing the ungovernable: The challenge of a global disaggregation of authority," Regulation & Governance, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 1(1), pages 88-97, March.
  27. Holger Mölder, 2023. "The prospects of strategic imagination in explaining international security challenges," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 55-76, April.
  28. José A. Tenreiro Machado & António M. Lopes & Maria Eugénia Mata, 2020. "Computer Analysis of Human Belligerency," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-24, July.
  29. Michael Spagat & Neil F Johnson & Stijn van Weezel, 2018. "Fundamental patterns and predictions of event size distributions in modern wars and terrorist campaigns," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(10), pages 1-13, October.
  30. Nan Lu, 2018. "La modélisation de l’indice CAC 40 avec un modèle basé agent," Erudite Ph.D Dissertations, Erudite, number ph18-02 edited by François Legendre, February.
  31. Yutaka NAKAI & Masayoshi Muto, 2008. "Emergence and Collapse of Peace with Friend Selection Strategies," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 11(3), pages 1-6.
  32. Fleming, Sean W., 2021. "Scale-free networks, 1/f dynamics, and nonlinear conflict size scaling from an agent-based simulation model of societal-scale bilateral conflict and cooperation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 567(C).
  33. Arnaud Mignan, 2022. "Categorizing and Harmonizing Natural, Technological, and Socio-Economic Perils Following the Catastrophe Modeling Paradigm," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-32, October.
  34. Luterbacher Urs & Sandi Carmen, 2014. "Breaking the Dynamics of Emotions and Fear in Conflict and Reconstruction," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 20(3), pages 1-44, August.
  35. Benjamin O. Fordham, 2004. "A Very Sharp Sword," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 48(5), pages 632-656, October.
  36. Flaminio Squazzoni, 2010. "The impact of agent-based models in the social sciences after 15 years of incursions," History of Economic Ideas, Fabrizio Serra Editore, Pisa - Roma, vol. 18(2), pages 197-234.
  37. Dmitry S. Zhukov & Sergey K. Lyamin, 2016. "The Modeling of Institutional Modernization by Means of Fractal Geometry," SAGE Open, , vol. 6(2), pages 21582440166, April.
  38. Salvador Pueyo, 2014. "Ecological Econophysics for Degrowth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(6), pages 1-53, May.
  39. Elias G. Carayannis & Mike Provance & Evangelos Grigoroudis, 2016. "Entrepreneurship ecosystems: an agent-based simulation approach," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 631-653, June.
  40. Neil Johnson & Michael Spagat & Jorge A. Restrepo & Nicolás Suárez, 2005. "From old wars to new wars and global terrorism," Documentos de Economía 2745, Universidad Javeriana - Bogotá.
  41. Dmitry Zhukov & Konstantin Kunavin & Sergey Lyamin, 2020. "Online Rebellion: Self-Organized Criticality of Contemporary Protest Movements," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(2), pages 21582440209, May.
  42. Pierpaolo Andriani & Bill McKelvey, 2009. "Perspective ---From Gaussian to Paretian Thinking: Causes and Implications of Power Laws in Organizations," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 20(6), pages 1053-1071, December.
  43. Louis Chauvel, 2014. "The Intensity and Shape of Inequality: The ABG Method of Distributional Analysis," LIS Working papers 609, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg.
  44. Pierpaolo Andriani & Bill McKelvey, 2006. "Beyond Gaussian Averages: Redirecting Management Research Toward Extreme Events and Power Laws," Working Papers 2006_03, Durham University Business School.
  45. Joshua D. Kertzer, 2017. "Microfoundations in international relations," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 34(1), pages 81-97, January.
  46. Dmitry Brizhinev & Nathan Ryan & Roger Bradbury, 2018. "Modelling Hegemonic Power Transition in Cyberspace," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-13, April.
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