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Effects of government borrowing on private investments in Kenya

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  • Lidiema, Caspah

Abstract

This paper analyses the effect of government domestic borrowing on private investment using an Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to test for long-run and shortrun co-integration relationship between the independent variables and Gross fixed capital formation. The findings show that Domestic Debt has a negative and significant relationship with Gross fixed capital formation even though this relationship diminishes in the long run. The findings confirm that excessive domestic borrowing by the government can negatively affect investment and eventually hurt economic growth. The paper recommends the need for the government to come up with policies to govern domestic borrowing and interest rates in addition to policies that encourage financial development through boosting Small and Micro enterprises lending to encourage local investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Lidiema, Caspah, 2017. "Effects of government borrowing on private investments in Kenya," KBA Centre for Research on Financial Markets and Policy Working Paper Series 22, Kenya Bankers Association (KBA).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:kbawps:22
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/249523/1/WPS-22.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    4. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    5. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    6. Prema-Chandra Athukorala, 1998. "Interest rates, saving and investment: Evidence from India," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 153-169.
    7. M. Shahe Emran & Subika Farazi, 2009. "Lazy Banks? Government Borrowing and Private Credit in Developing Countries," Working Papers 2009-09, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
    8. Mr. S. M. Ali Abbas & Mr. Jakob E Christensen, 2007. "The Role of Domestic Debt Markets in Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation for Low-Income Countries and Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2007/127, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jato, Terungwa Paul Joseph & Nwankwo, Nneka, 2024. "Crowding-out Effect of Public Debt on Private Sector Credit in Nigeria," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 12(3), September.

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