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Effects of government borrowing on private investments in Kenya

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  • Lidiema, Caspah

Abstract

This paper analyses the effect of government domestic borrowing on private investment using an Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to test for long-run and shortrun co-integration relationship between the independent variables and Gross fixed capital formation. The findings show that Domestic Debt has a negative and significant relationship with Gross fixed capital formation even though this relationship diminishes in the long run. The findings confirm that excessive domestic borrowing by the government can negatively affect investment and eventually hurt economic growth. The paper recommends the need for the government to come up with policies to govern domestic borrowing and interest rates in addition to policies that encourage financial development through boosting Small and Micro enterprises lending to encourage local investment.

Suggested Citation

  • Lidiema, Caspah, 2017. "Effects of government borrowing on private investments in Kenya," KBA Centre for Research on Financial Markets and Policy Working Paper Series 22, Kenya Bankers Association (KBA).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:kbawps:22
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/249523/1/WPS-22.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    4. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    5. M. Shahe Emran & Subika Farazi, 2009. "Lazy Banks? Government Borrowing and Private Credit in Developing Countries," Working Papers 2009-09, The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy.
    6. Anindya Banerjee & Juan Dolado & Ricardo Mestre, 1998. "Error‐correction Mechanism Tests for Cointegration in a Single‐equation Framework," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 267-283, May.
    7. Prema-Chandra Athukorala, 1998. "Interest rates, saving and investment: Evidence from India," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 153-169.
    8. Mr. S. M. Ali Abbas & Mr. Jakob E Christensen, 2007. "The Role of Domestic Debt Markets in Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation for Low-Income Countries and Emerging Markets," IMF Working Papers 2007/127, International Monetary Fund.
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