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The strategic use of microtargeting: The case of the German Federal Elections of 2025

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  • Repp, Stefan

Abstract

Political microtargeting (PMT) is often associated with data-intensive voter profiling and the Cambridge Analytica scandal. This paper argues that such a framing is increasingly outdated, particularly in tightly regulated contexts. Drawing on expert interviews, social media content analysis and digital advertising spending data from the 2025 German federal election, we show that PMT has not disappeared under stricter European regulation but has fundamentally changed its form. Constrained by the GDPR and the Transparency and Targeting of Political Advertising regulation, parties largely abandoned direct psychographic profiling. Yet targeted political communication remained highly effective through a different mechanism: algorithmic amplification. Platforms such as TikTok, Instagram and YouTube systematically amplified content from parties at the political margins, independent of advertising expenditure. The AfD and Die Linke achieved visibility far exceeding their paid spend, while better-funded mainstream parties underperformed in recommended feeds. Drawing on the Big Five personality model and the Persuasion Knowledge Model, this paper explains why platform-native, emotionally charged content proved so persuasive and why audiences were least likely to recognise it as targeted communication. The findings suggest that democratic oversight must shift focus from paid advertising to the design of algorithmic recommendation systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Repp, Stefan, 2026. "The strategic use of microtargeting: The case of the German Federal Elections of 2025," IPE Working Papers 270/2026, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ipewps:341421
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    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • M37 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Marketing and Advertising - - - Advertising

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