IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/ifwedp/201316.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Russia's food security and climate change: Looking into the future

Author

Listed:
  • Kiselev, Sergey
  • Romashkin, Roman
  • Nelson, Gerald C.
  • Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
  • Palazzo, Amanda

Abstract

Global climate change presents long-term risks to agriculture. In general, global climate change is expected to positively affect Russian agriculture. In high and middle latitudes, global warming would expand the growing season. Acreages of agricultural crops may expand toward the north, although yields would likely be lower due to less fertile soil. However, in the south there is a possibility of drier climate, which has a negative impact on crop yields and livestock productivity. In addition, climate change is expected to increase the scarcity of water resources and encourage weed and pest proliferation, and it is expected to increase the short-term risks associated with an increase in extreme weather events and natural disasters. This paper uses data on current conditions to simulate future scenarios and examine possible impacts on crop production in the Russian Federation. It also considers adaptive measures for agriculture in response to climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Kiselev, Sergey & Romashkin, Roman & Nelson, Gerald C. & Mason-D'Croz, Daniel & Palazzo, Amanda, 2013. "Russia's food security and climate change: Looking into the future," Economics Discussion Papers 2013-16, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:201316
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.economics-ejournal.org/economics/discussionpapers/2013-16
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/69904/1/736671552.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. You, Liangzhi & Wood, Stanley, 2006. "An entropy approach to spatial disaggregation of agricultural production," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 90(1-3), pages 329-347, October.
    2. Nelson, Gerald C. & Rosegrant, Mark W. & Palazzo, Amanda & Gray, Ian & Ingersoll, Christina & Robertson, Richard & Tokgoz, Simla & Zhu, Tingju & Sulser, Timothy B. & Ringler, Claudia & Msangi, Siwa & , 2010. "Food security, farming, and climate change to 2050: Scenarios, results, policy options," Research reports Gerald C. Nelson, et al., International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    3. World Bank, 2009. "World Development Indicators 2009," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 4367, December.
    4. World Bank, 2010. "Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change : Synthesis Report," World Bank Publications - Reports 12750, The World Bank Group.
    5. You, Liangzhi & Wood, Stanley & Wood-Sichra, Ulrike, 2007. "Generating plausible crop distribution and performance maps for Sub-Saharan Africa using a spatially disaggregated data fusion and optimization approach:," IFPRI discussion papers 725, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. World Bank, 2011. "World Development Indicators 2011," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2315, December.
    7. You, Liangzhi & Wood, Stanley & Wood-Sichra, Ulrike, 2009. "Generating plausible crop distribution maps for Sub-Saharan Africa using a spatially disaggregated data fusion and optimization approach," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 99(2-3), pages 126-140, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. N. M. Svetlov & S. O. Siptits & I. A. Romanenko & N. E. Evdokimova, 2019. "The Effect of Climate Change on the Location of Branches of Agriculture in Russia," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 406-418, July.
    2. Hualin Xie & Yuyang Wen & Yongrok Choi & Xinmin Zhang, 2021. "Global Trends on Food Security Research: A Bibliometric Analysis," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-21, January.
    3. Ballatore, Benedetto Francesco, 2021. "The importance of Russia’s agricultural sector in the MENA geopolitics," MPRA Paper 106440, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Mar 2021.
    4. Schierhorn, Florian & Faramarzi, Monireh & Prishchepov, Alexander V. & Koch, Friedrich J. & Müller, Daniel, 2014. "Quantifying yield gaps in wheat production in Russia," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 9(8), pages 1-12.
    5. S. V. Kiselev & A. S. Strokov & A. Yu. Belugin, 2016. "Projections of Russia’s agricultural development under the conditions of climate change," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 27(5), pages 548-556, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ye, Liming & Tang, Huajun & Wu, Wenbin & Yang, Peng & Nelson, Gerald C. & Mason-D'Croz, Daniel & Palazzo, Amanda, 2014. "Chinese food security and climate change: Agriculture futures," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 8, pages 1-39.
    2. Dube, Sikhalazo & Scholes, Robert J. & Nelson, Gerald C. & Mason-D'Croz, Daniel & Palazzo, Amanda, 2013. "South African food security and climate change: Agriculture futures," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-54.
    3. Hachigonta, Sepo & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Sibanda, Lindiwe M., 2013. "Overview," IFPRI book chapters, in: Hachigonta, Sepo & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Sibanda, Lindiwe Majele (ed.), Southern African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 1, pages 1-24, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Hassan, Shuaib M. & Ikuenobe, Celestine E. & Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S., 2013. "Nigeria," IFPRI book chapters, in: Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Zougmore, Robert & Roy-Macauley, Harold (ed.), West African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 10, pages 259-290, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    5. Conde, Sidafa & Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S., 2013. "Guinea," IFPRI book chapters, in: Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Zougmore, Robert & Roy-Macauley, Harold (ed.), West African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 7, pages 173-202, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. Khouma, Mamadou & Jalloh, Abdulai & Thomas, Timothy S. & Nelson, Gerald C., 2013. "Senegal," IFPRI book chapters, in: Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Zougmore, Robert & Roy-Macauley, Harold (ed.), West African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 11, pages 291-322, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    7. Nutsukpo, Delali K. & Jalloh, Abdulai & Zougmoré, Robert & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S., 2013. "Ghana," IFPRI book chapters, in: Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Zougmore, Robert & Roy-Macauley, Harold (ed.), West African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 6, pages 141-172, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    8. Nelson, Gerald C. & Palazzo, Amanda & Mason-DCroz, Daniel & Robertson, Richard D. & Thomas, Timothy S., 2013. "Methodology," IFPRI book chapters, in: Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Zougmore, Robert & Roy-Macauley, Harold (ed.), West African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 2, pages 37-52, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    9. Hassan, Shuaib M. & Ikuenobe, Celestine E. & Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S., 2013. "Nigeria," IFPRI book chapters, in: Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Zougmore, Robert & Roy-Macauley, Harold (ed.), West African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 10, pages 259-290, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    10. Ahossane, Kadio & Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S., 2013. "Cote d'Ivoire," IFPRI book chapters, in: Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Zougmore, Robert & Roy-Macauley, Harold (ed.), West African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 5, pages 111-140, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    11. Tchinguilou, Abiziou & Jalloh, Abdulai & Thomas, Timothy S. & Nelson, Gerald C., 2013. "Togo," IFPRI book chapters, in: Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Zougmore, Robert & Roy-Macauley, Harold (ed.), West African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 13, pages 353-382, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    12. Takle, Eugene S. & Gustafson, David & Beachy, Roger & Neslon, Gerald C. & Mason-D'Croz, Daniel & Palazzo, Amanda, 2013. "US food security and climate change: Agricultural futures," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-41.
    13. Johnson, Raymond G. & Kandeh, Mohamed & Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S., 2013. "Sierra Leone," IFPRI book chapters, in: Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Zougmore, Robert & Roy-Macauley, Harold (ed.), West African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 12, pages 323-352, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    14. Some, Leopold & Jalloh, Abdulai & Zougmore, Robert & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S., 2013. "Burkina Faso," IFPRI book chapters, in: Jalloh, Abdulai & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Zougmore, Robert & Roy-Macauley, Harold (ed.), West African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 4, pages 79-110, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    15. Manyatsi, Absalom M. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Masarirambi, Michael T. & Hachigonta, Sepo & Sibanda, Lindiwe M., 2013. "Swaziland," IFPRI book chapters, in: Hachigonta, Sepo & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Sibanda, Lindiwe Majele (ed.), Southern African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 8, pages 213-254, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    16. Johnston, Peter & Thomas, Timothy S. & Hachigonta, Sepo & Sibanda, Lindiwe M., 2013. "South Africa," IFPRI book chapters, in: Hachigonta, Sepo & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Sibanda, Lindiwe Majele (ed.), Southern African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 7, pages 175-212, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    17. Maure, Genito A. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Hachigonta, Sepo & Sibanda, Lindiwe M., 2013. "Mozambique," IFPRI book chapters, in: Hachigonta, Sepo & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Sibanda, Lindiwe Majele (ed.), Southern African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 6, pages 147-174, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    18. Saka, John D.K. & Sibale, Pickford & Thomas, Timothy S. & Hachigonta, Sepo & Sibanda, Lindiwe M., 2013. "Malawi," IFPRI book chapters, in: Hachigonta, Sepo & Nelson, Gerald C. & Thomas, Timothy S. & Sibanda, Lindiwe Majele (ed.), Southern African agriculture and climate change: A comprehensive analysis, chapter 5, pages 111-146, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    19. Lise Rakner, 2012. "Foreign Aid and Democratic Consolidation in Zambia," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2012-016, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    20. Chia-Lin Chang & Thanchanok Khamkaew & Michael McAleer, 2012. "IV Estimation of a Panel Threshold Model of Tourism Specialization and Economic Development," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(1), pages 5-41, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; agriculture; food security; IMPACT model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q24 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Land
    • Q25 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Water
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:201316. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/iwkiede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.