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Russia's food security and climate change: Looking into the future

Author

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  • Kiselev, Sergey
  • Romashkin, Roman
  • Nelson, Gerald C.
  • Mason-D'Croz, Daniel
  • Palazzo, Amanda

Abstract

Global climate change presents long-term risks to agriculture. In general, global climate change is expected to positively affect Russian agriculture. In high and middle latitudes, global warming would expand the growing season. Acreages of agricultural crops may expand toward the north, although yields would likely be lower due to less fertile soil. However, in the south there is a possibility of drier climate, which has a negative impact on crop yields and livestock productivity. In addition, climate change is expected to increase the scarcity of water resources and encourage weed and pest proliferation, and it is expected to increase the short-term risks associated with an increase in extreme weather events and natural disasters. This paper uses data on current conditions to simulate future scenarios and examine possible impacts on crop production in the Russian Federation. It also considers adaptive measures for agriculture in response to climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Kiselev, Sergey & Romashkin, Roman & Nelson, Gerald C. & Mason-D'Croz, Daniel & Palazzo, Amanda, 2013. "Russia's food security and climate change: Looking into the future," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 7, pages 1-66.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifweej:201339
    DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2013-39
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. You, Liangzhi & Wood, Stanley, 2006. "An entropy approach to spatial disaggregation of agricultural production," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 90(1-3), pages 329-347, October.
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    4. Gray, Ian & Ingersoll, Christina & Msangi, Siwa & Nelson, Gerald C. & Palazzo, Amanda & Ringler, Claudia & Robertson, Richard & Rosegrant, Mark W. & Sulser, Timothy B. & Tokgoz, Simla & You, Liangzhi , 2010. "Food security, farming, and climate change to 2050: Scenarios, results, policy options," Research reports Gerald C. Nelson, et al., International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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    7. You, Liangzhi & Wood, Stanley & Wood-Sichra, Ulrike, 2007. "Generating plausible crop distribution and performance maps for Sub-Saharan Africa using a spatially disaggregated data fusion and optimization approach," IFPRI discussion papers 725, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Schierhorn, Florian & Faramarzi, Monireh & Prishchepov, Alexander V. & Koch, Friedrich J. & Müller, Daniel, 2014. "Quantifying yield gaps in wheat production in Russia," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 9(8), pages 1-12.
    2. Felipe de Bolle & Egemen Kolemen, 2024. "Counter-Geoengineering: Feasibility and Policy Implications for a Geoengineered World," Papers 2412.03598, arXiv.org.
    3. N. M. Svetlov & S. O. Siptits & I. A. Romanenko & N. E. Evdokimova, 2019. "The Effect of Climate Change on the Location of Branches of Agriculture in Russia," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 406-418, July.
    4. S. V. Kiselev & A. S. Strokov & A. Yu. Belugin, 2016. "Projections of Russia’s agricultural development under the conditions of climate change," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 27(5), pages 548-556, September.
    5. Hualin Xie & Yuyang Wen & Yongrok Choi & Xinmin Zhang, 2021. "Global Trends on Food Security Research: A Bibliometric Analysis," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-21, January.
    6. Ballatore, Benedetto Francesco, 2021. "The importance of Russia’s agricultural sector in the MENA geopolitics," MPRA Paper 106440, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Mar 2021.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • Q24 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Land
    • Q25 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Water
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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