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Exchange Rate and Output Dynamics Between Japan and Korea

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  • Kang, Sammo
  • Kim, Soyoung
  • Wang, Yunjong
  • Yoon, Deok Ryong

Abstract

Japan and Korea are close countries in terms of economic interaction as well as geography. To quantify the impact of changes in the yen-dollar exchange rate on the Korean economy before and after the crisis in 1997, the sample period has been divided into two sub-periods and the causal relationships examined by using vector autoregression analysis. Our estimates show that while the response of Korean industrial production to changes in the yen-dollar exchange rate was not significant during the pre-crisis period, it became significant during the post-crisis period. The forecast error variance decomposition also confirms that the yen-dollar exchange rate shocks have almost negligible explanatory power with regards to Korean industrial production during the pre-crisis period, but they have some significance for the postcrisis period. These empirical results show that the free floating exchange rate regime adopted since the crisis cannot insulate the Korean economy from external nominal shocks such as the yen-dollar exchange rate shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Kang, Sammo & Kim, Soyoung & Wang, Yunjong & Yoon, Deok Ryong, 2003. "Exchange Rate and Output Dynamics Between Japan and Korea," HWWA Discussion Papers 238, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:hwwadp:26297
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    Cited by:

    1. Peter Wilson & Henry Ng Shang Ren, 2006. "Managing Exchange Rate Volatility : A Comparative Counterfactual Analysis Of Singapore 1994 To 2003," Macroeconomics Working Papers 22584, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    2. Peter Wilson & Henry Ng Shang Ren, 2006. "Managing Exchange Rate Volatility: A Comparative Counterfactual Analysis of Singapore 1994 to 2003," SCAPE Policy Research Working Paper Series 0608, National University of Singapore, Department of Economics, SCAPE.
    3. Peter Wilson, 2005. "Prospects for Asian Exchange Rate Cooperation: Why an ERM Solution Might be the Most Palatable," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(1), pages 1-34.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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