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From Riches to Rags, and Back? Explaining the Growth Trajectory of Argentina since the 1890s

  • Campos, Nauro F.
  • Karanasos, Menelaos G.
  • Tan, Bin

Argentina is the only country in the world that was “developed” in 1900 and “developing” in 2000. Although various underlying reasons have been identified (chiefly political instability, financial development, inflation, trade openness, and international financial integration), no study has quantitatively assessed their relative importance. This paper tries to fill this gap. We use the power-ARCH framework and annual data since 1896 to study how important are these factors vis-à-vis both growth and growth volatility. Our results suggest that financial development, trade openness and political instability are the main factors, with important differences in terms of their short versus long-run behavior.

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Paper provided by Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics in its series Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Frankfurt a.M. 2009 with number 37.

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Date of creation: 2009
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Handle: RePEc:zbw:gdec09:37
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  1. Aaron Tornell & Frank Westermann & Lorenza Martínez, 2004. "The Positive Link Between Financial Liberalization, Growth, and Crises," CESifo Working Paper Series 1164, CESifo Group Munich.
  2. Leandro Prados de la Escosura & Isabel Sanz Villarroya, 2006. "Contract Enforcement and Argentina’s Long-Run Decline," Working Papers in Economic History wp06-06, Universidad Carlos III, Instituto Figuerola de Historia y Ciencias Sociales.
  3. Sanz-Villarroya, Isabel, 2005. "The convergence process of Argentina with Australia and Canada: 1875-2000," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 439-458, July.
  4. Sergio L. Schmukler & Graciela Laura Kaminsky, 2003. "Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain; The Effects of Financial Liberalization," IMF Working Papers 03/34, International Monetary Fund.
  5. Gerardo della Paolera & Alan M. Taylor, 1997. "Finance and Development in an Emerging Market: Argentina and the Interwar Period," NBER Working Papers 6236, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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