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Greenhouse gas emission budgets and policies for zero-carbon road transport in Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Plötz, Patrick
  • Wachsmuth, Jakob
  • Sprei, Frances
  • Gnann, Till
  • Speth, Daniel
  • Neuner, Felix
  • Link, Steffen

Abstract

Following the Paris Agreement, virtually all countries worldwide have committed themselves to undertaking efforts to limit global warming to 1.5êC. Within the European Union (EU), the recent "Fit for 55" policy package proposes ambitious greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation policies for all sectors as part of the EU's contribution to limiting global warming. Yet, it is unclear whether the proposed policies are sufficient for the EU to limit global warming to 1.5êC and it remains an open policy problem how to translate global temperature targets into sector-specific emission budgets and further into sector-specific policies. Here, we derive GHG budgets for transport in EU27 and obtain GHG mitigation pathways for Europe consistent with 1.5êC global warming. We do not provide a comprehensive assessment of the "Fit for 55" transport package but we discuss the main policies for road transport in light of the GHG emission budgets, their level of ambition, and suggest amendments to these policies as well as improvements to the "Fit for 55" package. Our results suggest that parts of the "Fit for 55" for transport are still not ambitious enough to align with a 1.5êC scenario.

Suggested Citation

  • Plötz, Patrick & Wachsmuth, Jakob & Sprei, Frances & Gnann, Till & Speth, Daniel & Neuner, Felix & Link, Steffen, 2023. "Greenhouse gas emission budgets and policies for zero-carbon road transport in Europe," Working Papers "Sustainability and Innovation" S02/2023, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:fisisi:s022023
    DOI: 10.24406/publica-975
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jonn Axsen & Patrick Plötz & Michael Wolinetz, 2020. "Crafting strong, integrated policy mixes for deep CO2 mitigation in road transport," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 10(9), pages 809-818, September.
    2. Felix Creutzig & Joyashree Roy & William F. Lamb & Inês M. L. Azevedo & Wändi Bruine de Bruin & Holger Dalkmann & Oreane Y. Edelenbosch & Frank W. Geels & Arnulf Grubler & Cameron Hepburn & Edgar G. H, 2018. "Towards demand-side solutions for mitigating climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(4), pages 260-263, April.
    3. Cavallaro, Federico & Giaretta, Federico & Nocera, Silvio, 2018. "The potential of road pricing schemes to reduce carbon emissions," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 85-92.
    4. Brand, Christian & Anable, Jillian & Ketsopoulou, Ioanna & Watson, Jim, 2020. "Road to zero or road to nowhere? Disrupting transport and energy in a zero carbon world," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    5. Felix Creutzig & Leila Niamir & Xuemei Bai & Max Callaghan & Jonathan Cullen & Julio Díaz-José & Maria Figueroa & Arnulf Grubler & William F. Lamb & Adrian Leip & Eric Masanet & Érika Mata & Linus Mat, 2022. "Demand-side solutions to climate change mitigation consistent with high levels of well-being," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 36-46, January.
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    Keywords

    Climate policy; transport emissions; battery electric vehicles;
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