IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/zbw/esprep/343188.html

Impact of a Major Event in CEMAC under Vision 2030: evidence from Congo, 1974-2021

Author

Listed:
  • Kuikeu, Oscar

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to assess whether the asian crisis have effectively exerted an effect on Export Dynamics in CEMAC. The Method used into the literature consists on testing structural break into the Export equation this one considered as the effect of a Major Event. The literature uses second generation panel cointegration test to give accurate to this result. Given that the Export equation is linear we relie here on the well known CUSUM and CHOW test of structural Break. According to the obtained results there is evidence that the asian crisis in 1997 as well as the CFA Franc devaluation in 1994 have exerted an effect on Export Dynamics in CEMAC. As the Vision 2030 have the goal to transform African countries as middle-income economies in general called emergent economies this one (Vision 2030) could benefit from this study with an knowledge of the effect of Major Event on Export performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Kuikeu, Oscar, 2026. "Impact of a Major Event in CEMAC under Vision 2030: evidence from Congo, 1974-2021," EconStor Preprints 343188, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:343188
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/343188/1/MajorEvent-Congo.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Berman, Nicolas & Berthou, Antoine & Héricourt, Jérôme, 2015. "Export dynamics and sales at home," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(2), pages 298-310.
    2. Couharde, Cécile & Delatte, Anne-Laure & Grekou, Carl & Mignon, Valérie & Morvillier, Florian, 2018. "EQCHANGE: A world database on actual and equilibrium effective exchange rates," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 206-230.
    3. Paulo Esteves & António Rua, 2015. "Is there a role for domestic demand pressure on export performance?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 1173-1189, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ansgar Belke & Daniel Gros & Alcidi Cinzia & Leonor Coutinho & Alessandro Giovannini, 2014. "Exit State-of-play in Implementing Macroeconomic Adjustment Programmes in the Euro Area," ROME Working Papers 201405, ROME Network.
    2. Bugamelli, Matteo & Gaiotti, Eugenio & Viviano, Eliana, 2015. "Domestic and foreign sales: Complements or substitutes?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 46-51.
    3. Belke, Ansgar & Oeking, Anne & Setzer, Ralph, 2015. "Domestic demand, capacity constraints and exporting dynamics: Empirical evidence for vulnerable euro area countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 315-325.
    4. Kuikeu, Oscar, 2025. "Long Term Relationship in Export Equation," EconStor Preprints 327002, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Styliani Christodoulopoulou & Olegs Tkacevs, 2014. "Measuring the Effectiveness of Cost and Price Competitiveness in External Rebalancing of Euro Area Countries: What Do Alternative HCIs Tell Us?," Working Papers 2014/06, Latvijas Banka.
    6. Ansgar Belke & Anne Oeking & Ralph Setzer, 2014. "Domestic demand pressure and export dynamics – An empirical threshold model analysis for six euro area countries," EcoMod2014 6780, EcoMod.
    7. Christoph Fischer & Oliver Hossfeld & Karin Radeck, 2018. "On the Suitability of Alternative Competitiveness Indicators for Explaining Real Exports of Advanced Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(1), pages 119-139, February.
    8. Karsten Staehr, 2021. "Export performance and capacity pressures in Central and Eastern Europe," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 165, pages 204-217.
    9. Belke, Ansgar & Oeking, Anne & Setzer, Ralph, 2015. "Exports and Capacity Constraints: Evidence for Several Euro Area Countries," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113228, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    10. Ruling Hong & Mengxun Liu & Haoming Yang & Qianqian Zhang, 2023. "What Drives China’s Exports: Evidence from a Domestic Consumption Expansion Policy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-15, February.
    11. JaeBin Ahn & Alexander F. McQuoid, 2017. "Capacity Constrained Exporters: Identifying Increasing Marginal Cost," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 55(3), pages 1175-1191, July.
    12. Gros, Daniel & Alcidi, Cinzia & Belke, Ansgar & Coutinho, Leonor & Giovannini, Alessandro, 2014. "State-of-Play in Implementing Macroeconomic Adjustment Programmes in the Euro Area," Ruhr Economic Papers 482, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    13. José Bardaji & Jean‐Charles Bricongne & Benoît Campagne & Guillaume Gaulier, 2019. "Domestic and export performances of French firms," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 785-817, March.
    14. repec:ces:ceswps:_10716 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Jaqueline Terra Marins & Marta Baltar Areosa & José Valentim Machado Vicente, 2024. "The Balassa-Samuelson Effect during the Covid-19 Pandemic in Brazil," Working Papers Series 596, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    16. Peter Grajzl & Stjepan Srhoj & Jaka Cepec & Barbara Mörec, 2024. "A by-product of big government: the attenuating role of public procurement for the effectiveness of grants-based entrepreneurship policy," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 895-916, March.
    17. Moisă ALTĂR & Ana-Maria CAZACU, 2016. "Testing Self-Selection And Learning By Exporting Hypotheses. The Case Of Romania," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, vol. 50(1), pages 5-22.
    18. Huang, Jiuli & Wang, Yabin & Zhu, Min, 2026. "Gains from targeting? Government subsidies and firm performance in China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    19. Matteo Bugamelli & Silvia Fabiani & Stefano Federico & Alberto Felettigh & Claire Giordano & Andrea Linarello, 2018. "Back on Track? A Macro–Micro Narrative of Italian Exports," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 4(1), pages 1-31, March.
    20. Claire Giordano, 2023. "Revisiting the real exchange rate misalignment‐economic growth nexus via the across‐sector misallocation channel," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(4), pages 1329-1384, September.
    21. Giordano, Claire & Lopez-Garcia, Paloma, 2019. "Firm heterogeneity and trade in EU countries: a cross-country analysis," Occasional Paper Series 225, European Central Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:343188. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/zbwkide.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.