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Die Rentenversicherung unter Reformdruck: Ein Drama in drei Akten

  • Ehrentraut, Oliver
  • Raffelhüschen, Bernd
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    Der vorliegende Beitrag soll zeigen, dass die von der sogenannten Rürup-Kommission eingebrachten Vorschläge durchaus einen Weg in Richtung Nachhaltigkeit der Rentenversicherung darstellen können. Darunter fallen v.a. zwei Maßnahmen, nämlich die Anhebung der Altersgrenze für Regelaltersrenten von 65 auf 67 Jahre und die Integration eines sogenannten Nachhaltigkeitsfaktors in die aktuelle Rentenformel. Auf die in der wissenschaftlichen Diskussion seit langem geforderte Einführung von höheren Abschlägen bei Frühverrentung hat man verzichtet. Dennoch wird auch diese Maßnahme zusammen mit den vorgeschlagenen mittels der Methode der Generationenbilanzierung im Hinblick auf ihre fiskalische Wirkung überprüft. Dazu erfolgt im ersten Akt zunächst eine kurze Einführung in die Methodik der Generationenbilanzierung. Im zweiten Akt werden die bestehenden Probleme der GRV aufgezeigt und verdeutlicht. Die Analyse der unterschiedlichen Reformideen und Lösungsvorschläge im Vergleich zum Status quo ist Gegenstand des dritten Akts. Der Epilog fasst den Beitrag zusammen und schließt mit einem Ausblick auf die politischen Realisierungschancen der Reformkonzepte.

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    Paper provided by Institut für Finanzwissenschaft, Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg in its series Discussion Papers with number 109.

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    Date of creation: 2003
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    Handle: RePEc:zbw:alufin:109
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    1. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1991. "Generational Accounts: A Meaningful Alternative to Deficit Accounting," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 5, pages 55-110 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Hans-Werner Sinn & Silke Uebelmesser, 2001. "When Will the Germans Get Trapped in their Pension System?," NBER Working Papers 8503, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Auerbach, Alan J & Gokhale, Jagadeesh & Kotlikoff, Laurence J, 1992. " Generational Accounting: A New Approach to Understanding the Effects of Fiscal Policy on Saving," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 94(2), pages 303-18.
    4. Axel Börsch-Supan & Anette Reil-Held & Christina Benita Wilke, 2003. "Der Nachhaltigkeitsfaktor und andere Formelmodifikationen zur langfristigen Stabilisierung des Beitragssatzes zur GRV," MEA discussion paper series 03030, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
    5. Arnds, Pascal & Bonin, Holger, 2002. "Arbeitsmarkteffekte und finanzpolitische Folgen der demographischen Alterung in Deutschland," IZA Discussion Papers 667, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
    6. Christoph Borgmann & Matthias Heidler, 2003. "Demographics and Volatile Social Security Wealth: Political Risks of Benefit Rule Changes in Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 1021, CESifo Group Munich.
    7. Alan J. Auerbach & Jagadeesh Gokhale & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1994. "Generational Accounting: A Meaningful Way to Evaluate Fiscal Policy," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 73-94, Winter.
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