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Fossil fuel subsidy and pricing policies : recent developing country experience

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  • Kojima,Masami

Abstract

The steep decline in the world oil price in the last quarter of 2014 slashed fuel price subsidies. Several governments responded by announcing that they would remove subsidies for one or more fuels and move to market-based pricing with full cost recovery. Other governments took advantage of low world prices to increase taxes and other charges on fuels. However, the decision to move to cost recovery and market prices, ending budgetary support, has not been implemented consistently across countries. Policy announcements have varied in the way they were communicated and the level of detail provided. When petroleum product prices bounced back during the first half of 2015, some"reforming"governments failed to raise prices correspondingly. Recent experience suggests that regular and frequent price adjustments, however small?as in Jordan and Morocco?help the government and consumers to get accustomed to fluctuations in world fuel prices and exchange rates. By contrast, freezing prices, even for a few months?for socioeconomic considerations or because the needed adjustments are small enough to be absorbed?increases the risk of reversion to ad hoc pricing and price subsidies. The more formally the decision to move to market-based pricing is communicated, the more public new price announcements, and the higher the frequency of price changes, the more likely the implementation of the announced pricing policy reform will be sustained.

Suggested Citation

  • Kojima,Masami, 2016. "Fossil fuel subsidy and pricing policies : recent developing country experience," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7531, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:7531
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    Cited by:

    1. Feng, Kuishuang & Hubacek, Klaus & Liu, Yu & Marchán, Estefanía & Vogt-Schilb, Adrien, 2018. "Managing the distributional effects of energy taxes and subsidy removal in Latin America and the Caribbean," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 424-436.
    2. Guillermo Beylis & Barbara Cunha, 2017. "Energy Pricing Policies for Inclusive Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 28299, December.
    3. Cecile Couharde & Sara Mouhoud, 2020. "Fossil Fuel Subsidies, Income Inequality, And Poverty: Evidence From Developing Countries," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(5), pages 981-1006, December.
    4. Philomena Dadzie & Nicholas Bamegne Nambie & Belinda Ameh Obobi, 2023. "Impact of Petroleum Energy Price Volatility on Commodity Prices in Ghana," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 73-82, January.
    5. Eddy Prabowo & Harianto & Bambang Juanda & Dikky Indrawan, 2022. "The Economic Price of Liquid Petroleum Gas, Poverty and Subsidy Removal Compensation Scenario in Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 169-177, September.
    6. Troncoso, Karin & Soares da Silva, Agnes, 2017. "LPG fuel subsidies in Latin America and the use of solid fuels to cook," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 188-196.
    7. Pablo Benalcazar & Adam Suski & Jacek Kamiński, 2020. "The Effects of Capital and Energy Subsidies on the Optimal Design of Microgrid Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, February.
    8. Neil McCulloch, 2017. "Energy subsidies, international aid, and the politics of reform," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2017-174, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. Li, Yiming & Li, Changqing, 2019. "Fossil energy subsidies in China's modern coal chemical industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    10. Greve, Hannes & Kis-Katos, Krisztina & Renner, Sebastian, 2021. "Energy prices, generators, and the (environmental) performance of manufacturing firms: Evidence from Indonesia," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242382, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    11. Neil McCulloch, 2017. "Energy subsidies, international aid, and the politics of reform," WIDER Working Paper Series 174, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    12. Auktor, Georgeta Vidican & Loewe, Markus, 2021. "Subsidy reforms in the Middle East and North Africa: Strategic options and their consequences for the social contract," IDOS Discussion Papers 12/2021, German Institute of Development and Sustainability (IDOS).
    13. Vietha Devia SS, 2019. "Analysis of Crude Oil Price and Exchange Rate Volatility on Macroeconomic Variables (Case Study of Indonesia as Emerging Economic Country)," International Journal of Business and Administrative Studies, Professor Dr. Bahaudin G. Mujtaba, vol. 5(5), pages 257-271.
    14. Georgeta Vidican Auktor & Markus Loewe, 2022. "Subsidy Reform and the Transformation of Social Contracts: The Cases of Egypt, Iran and Morocco," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, February.
    15. Rentschler, Jun & Kornejew, Martin & Bazilian, Morgan, 2017. "Fossil fuel subsidy reforms and their impacts on firms," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 617-623.
    16. Amin, Sakib & Marsiliani, Laura & Renström, Thomas, 2018. "The Impacts of Fossil Fuel Subsidy Removal on Bangladesh Economy," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 41(02), pages 65-81, June.
    17. McCulloch, Neil & Moerenhout, Tom & Yang, Joonseok, 2021. "Fuel subsidy reform and the social contract in Nigeria: A micro-economic analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    18. Maruyama Rentschler,Jun Erik & Hosoe,Nobuhiro, 2022. "Illicit Schemes : Fossil Fuel Subsidy Reforms and the Role of Tax Evasion and Smuggling," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9907, The World Bank.
    19. Anan Wattanakuljarus, 2021. "Diverse effects of fossil fuel subsidy reform on industrial competitiveness in Thailand," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(3), pages 489-517, September.
    20. Wheeler,Collette Mari & Baffes,John & Kabundi,Alain Ntumba & Kindberg-Hanlon,Gene & Nagle,Peter Stephen Oliver & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2020. "Adding Fuel to the Fire : Cheap Oil during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9320, The World Bank.

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