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From demographic dividend to demographic burden ? regional trends of population aging in Russia

Author

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  • Matytsin,Mikhail
  • Moorty,Lalita M.
  • Richter,Kaspar

Abstract

Do regions with higher working age populations grow faster? This paper examines this question using data from Russian regions and finds evidence that demographic trends influence regional growth convergence. In other words, keeping other factors constant, poorer regions grow faster than richer regions, and some of the growth convergence is explained by demographic changes: faster growth in poor regions in the past was related in part to more favorable demographic trends. This finding has important consequences for Russia. If the demographic trends in poorer regions worsen in the future, this could dampen economic convergence. Unless there are significant increases in labor productivity or additions to the labor force through migration, growth in Russian regions will moderate as the Russian population shrinks and ages in the coming decades.

Suggested Citation

  • Matytsin,Mikhail & Moorty,Lalita M. & Richter,Kaspar, 2015. "From demographic dividend to demographic burden ? regional trends of population aging in Russia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7501, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:7501
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Victoria Levin, 2015. "Promoting Active Aging in Russia," World Bank Publications - Reports 22613, The World Bank Group.
    2. Jian Zhou & Jingjing Deng & Li Li & Shuang Wang, 2023. "The Demographic Dividend or the Education Dividend? Evidence from China’s Economic Growth," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-17, April.

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    Keywords

    Pro-Poor Growth; Population Policies; Regional Economic Development; Emerging Markets; Demographics;
    All these keywords.

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