IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wbk/wbrwps/11275.html

Seeds of Change : The Effects of the Introduction of Bt Cotton in India

Author

Listed:
  • Gwee, Yi Jie

Abstract

Although many studies have examined the factors affecting structural transformation, the role of relative factor endowments has not been extensively explored. This paper examines the effects of the introduction of Bt cotton in India and finds substantial increases in cotton output and the land allocated to growing it. The effects diminish as the ratio of labor-to-land increases. This suggests that when inputs are complementary and technological change is labor augmenting, the relative scarcity of other inputs can limit productivity gains, shaping patterns of structural transformation. Despite increases in cotton land and output, the share of workers in agriculture remained unchanged.

Suggested Citation

  • Gwee, Yi Jie, 2025. "Seeds of Change : The Effects of the Introduction of Bt Cotton in India," Policy Research Working Paper Series 11275, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:11275
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/099935512102553655/pdf/IDU-d15822a1-5531-44ae-a7d1-793f12c9ab73.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Petia Topalova, 2010. "Factor Immobility and Regional Impacts of Trade Liberalization: Evidence on Poverty from India," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(4), pages 1-41, October.
    2. Plewis, Ian, . "Adopting Hybrid Bt Cotton: Using Interrupted Time-Series Analysis to Assess Its Effects on Farmers in Northern India," Review of Agrarian Studies, Foundation for Agrarian Studies, vol. 9(2).
    3. Tommaso Porzio & Federico Rossi & Gabriella Santangelo, 2022. "The Human Side of Structural Transformation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(8), pages 2774-2814, August.
    4. Ian Plewis, 2019. "Adopting Hybrid Bt Cotton: Using Interrupted Time-Series Analysis to Assess Its Effects on Farmers in Northern India," Journal, Review of Agrarian Studies, vol. 9(2), pages 4-23, July-Dece.
    5. R. G. Lipsey & Kelvin Lancaster, 1956. "The General Theory of Second Best," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 24(1), pages 11-32.
    6. Joseph P. Kaboski, 2023. "Financial frictions, financial market development, and macroeconomic development," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(4), pages 397-416, October.
    7. Brantly Callaway & Andrew Goodman-Bacon & Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna, 2024. "Event Studies with a Continuous Treatment," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 114, pages 601-605, May.
    8. Paul Beaudry & Mark Doms & Ethan Lewis, 2010. "Should the Personal Computer Be Considered a Technological Revolution? Evidence from U.S. Metropolitan Areas," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 118(5), pages 988-1036.
    9. Piyabha Kongsamut & Sergio Rebelo & Danyang Xie, 2001. "Beyond Balanced Growth," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 68(4), pages 869-882.
    10. David Lagakos, 2020. "Urban-Rural Gaps in the Developing World: Does Internal Migration Offer Opportunities?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 34(3), pages 174-192, Summer.
    11. L. Rachel Ngai & Christopher A. Pissarides, 2007. "Structural Change in a Multisector Model of Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(1), pages 429-443, March.
    12. Baysan, Ceren & Dar, Manzoor H. & Emerick, Kyle & Li, Zhimin & Sadoulet, Elisabeth, 2024. "The agricultural wage gap within rural villages," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    13. Kevin Donovan & Todd Schoellman, 2023. "The role of labor market frictions in structural transformation," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(4), pages 362-374, October.
    14. Michael A. Clemens & Ethan G. Lewis & Hannah M. Postel, 2018. "Immigration Restrictions as Active Labor Market Policy: Evidence from the Mexican Bracero Exclusion," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(6), pages 1468-1487, June.
    15. Arnaud Costinot & Dave Donaldson & Cory Smith, 2016. "Evolving Comparative Advantage and the Impact of Climate Change in Agricultural Markets: Evidence from 1.7 Million Fields around the World," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 124(1), pages 205-248.
    16. Maggie Liu & Yogita Shamdasani & Vis Taraz, 2023. "Climate Change and Labor Reallocation: Evidence from Six Decades of the Indian Census," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 395-423, May.
    17. Claudia Goldin & Kenneth Sokoloff, 1984. "The Relative Productivity Hypothesis of Industrialization: The American Case, 1820 to 1850," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 99(3), pages 461-487.
    18. Paula Bustos & Bruno Caprettini & Jacopo Ponticelli, 2016. "Agricultural Productivity and Structural Transformation: Evidence from Brazil," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(6), pages 1320-1365, June.
    19. Ramaswami, Bharat & Pray, Carl E. & Lalitha, N., 2012. "The Spread of Illegal Transgenic Cotton Varieties in India: Biosafety Regulation, Monopoly, and Enforcement," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 177-188.
    20. Douglas Gollin & Joseph P. Kaboski, 2023. "New views of structural transformation: insights from recent literature," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(4), pages 339-361, October.
    21. Mokyr, Joel, 1976. "Industrial Growth and Stagnation in the Low Countries, 1800–1850," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(1), pages 276-278, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Christoph Albert & Paula Bustos & Jacopo Ponticelli, 2024. "The effects of climate change on labor and capital reallocation," Economics Working Papers 1887, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    2. Christoph Albert & Paula Bustos & Jacopo Ponticelli, 2021. "The Effects of Climate Change on Labor and Capital Reallocation," NBER Working Papers 28995, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Abay, Kibrom A. & Wondale, Meseret & Korir, Josphat K. & Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane & Araya, Mesele & Breisinger, Clemens, 2025. "The landscape of youth engagement in labor markets in Africa: Are youth driving structural transformation?," IFPRI discussion papers 2382, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Chu, Angus C. & Furukawa, Yuichi & Peretto, Pietro & Xu, Rongxin, 2024. "Agricultural trade and industrial development," MPRA Paper 122630, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Abay, Kibrom A. & Wondale, Meseret & Korir, Josphat K. & Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane & Araya, Mesele & Breisinger, Clemens, 2025. "The landscape of youth engagement in labor markets in Africa: Are youth driving structural transformation?," GSSP working papers 2382, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. Yuan Tian & Junjie Xia & Rudai Yang, 2020. "Trade-induced urbanization and the making of modern agriculture," Discussion Papers 2020-16, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    7. Kjetil Storesletten & Bo Zhao & Fabrizio Zilibotti, 2019. "Business Cycle during Structural Change: Arthur Lewis' Theory from a Neoclassical Perspective," NBER Working Papers 26181, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Yi Li, 2020. "Internet Development and Structural Transformation: Evidence from China," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 10(1), pages 1-8.
    9. Storesletten, Kjetil & Zhao, Bo & Zilibotti, Fabrizio, 2020. "Business Cycle during Structural Change: Arthur Lewis’ Theory from a Neoclassical Perspective," CEPR Discussion Papers 14964, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    10. Fajgelbaum, Pablo & Redding, Stephen, 2014. "External integration, structural transformation and economic development: evidence from Argentina," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 60285, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Gangopadhyay, Kausik & Mondal, Debasis, 2021. "Productivity, relative sectoral prices, and total factor productivity: Theory and evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    12. Redding, Stephen & Fajgelbaum, Pablo, 2014. "External Integration, Structural Transformation and Economic Development: Evidence from Argentina 1870-1914," CEPR Discussion Papers 10026, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    13. Santangelo, G., 2019. "Firms and Farms: The Local Effects of Farm Income on Firms’ Demand," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1924, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    14. Stephan Heblich & Stephen J. Redding & Yanos Zylberberg, 2024. "The Distributional Consequences of Trade: Evidence from the Grain Invasion," Working Papers 337, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    15. Ziyao Huang & Fang Yang, 2024. "Macroeconomic Impacts of College Expansion on Structural Transformation and Energy Economy in China: A Heterogeneous Agent General Equilibrium Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-31, July.
    16. David Andersson & Mounir Karadja & Erik Prawitz, 2022. "Mass Migration and Technological Change," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 20(5), pages 1859-1896.
    17. Chen, Chaoran, 2020. "Technology adoption, capital deepening, and international productivity differences," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    18. Hoyos, Mateo & Coronado, José Alejandro & Martins, Guilherme Klein, 2024. "Local and Spillover Effects of Trade on Structural Transformation: Evidence from Brazil," SocArXiv rfqvt, Center for Open Science.
    19. Daymard, Arnaud, 2025. "Is agricultural productivity a prerequisite for structural transformation? Evidence on the role of trade openness," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 828-848.
    20. Cao, Huoqing & Chen, Shiyi & Xi, Xican, 2023. "Aging, migration, and structural transformation in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:11275. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Roula I. Yazigi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dvewbus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.