IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/unu/wpaper/wp-2025-34.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Trust in a changing world: Social cohesion and the social contract in uncertain times

Author

Listed:
  • Patricia Justino
  • Melissa Samarin

Abstract

This paper examines the erosion of trust as a global phenomenon, highlighting its implications for social cohesion and governance. Using data from the World Values Survey and regional barometers, the analysis focuses on trust's dual dimensions—interpersonal and institutional—within different socio-economic and geopolitical contexts. Results show a sharp decline in institutional trust worldwide, coupled with a mixed trajectory for interpersonal trust.

Suggested Citation

  • Patricia Justino & Melissa Samarin, 2025. "Trust in a changing world: Social cohesion and the social contract in uncertain times," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2025-34, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  • Handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2025-34
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/Publications/Working-paper/PDF/wp2025-34-trust-changing-world.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carlin, Ryan E. & Love, Gregory J., 2018. "Political Competition, Partisanship and Interpersonal Trust in Electoral Democracies," British Journal of Political Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(1), pages 115-139, January.
    2. Ellen Quintelier & Jan W. Deth, 2014. "Supporting Democracy: Political Participation and Political Attitudes. Exploring Causality Using Panel Data," Political Studies, Political Studies Association, vol. 62, pages 153-171, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Radtke, Jörg, 2025. "E-participation in energy transitions: What does it mean? Chances and challenges within Germany's Energiewende," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    2. Hall, Jonathan & Whitt, Sam, 2024. "Examining affective partisan polarization through a novel behavioral experiment: The equality equivalency test in the United States (2019–2022)," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    3. Ghalke, Avinash & Sensarma, Rudra & Chakraborty, Sandip & Kakani, Ram Kumar, 2023. "Stock markets and economic uncertainty: Roles of legislative sessions and coalition strength," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    4. Philipp Kleer & Simone Abendschön & Gema García-Albacete & Lidia Núñez & David Sánchez, 2025. "Voices in the Margins: Exploring the Link Between Discrimination and Adolescents’ Political Involvement," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 13.
    5. Scott Gates & Mogens K. Justesen, 2020. "Political Trust, Shocks, and Accountability: Quasi-experimental Evidence from a Rebel Attack," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 64(9), pages 1693-1723, October.
    6. Bimal Adhikari & Jeffrey King & Lie Philip Santoso, 2024. "The limits of shame: UN shaming, NGO repression, and women's protests," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 41(3), pages 197-217, May.
    7. Cornago Bonal, Luis & Raffaelli, Francesco, 2024. "Political Identities and the Politics of Workplace Cooperation," OSF Preprints j43tn, Center for Open Science.
    8. repec:osf:osfxxx:j43tn_v1 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Şehide Kilinc, 2025. "Research Trends on Political Participation of School Aged Children and Adolescents: Bibliometric Mapping and Content Analysis," Child Indicators Research, Springer;The International Society of Child Indicators (ISCI), vol. 18(2), pages 753-787, April.
    10. Marieke Voorpostel & Hilde Coffé, 2015. "The Effect of Parental Separation on Young Adults’ Political and Civic Participation," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 124(1), pages 295-316, October.
    11. Weronika Najda & Stuart Hanmer-Lloyd, 2025. "Expanding the Conceptualisations of Citizenship Norms—A Qualitative Study of Young Poles and Their Parents," Societies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-15, March.
    12. Lorraine Ryan & Thomas Turner, 2021. "Does work socialisation matter? Worker engagement in political activities, attachment to democracy and openness to immigration," Industrial Relations Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(2), pages 125-144, March.
    13. Henrik Serup Christensen, 2019. "Boosting Political Trust with Direct Democracy? The Case of the Finnish Citizens’ Initiative," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 7(2), pages 173-186.
    14. Hans Pitlik & Martin Rode, 2021. "Radical Distrust: Are Economic Policy Attitudes Tempered by Social Trust?," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 158(2), pages 485-506, December.
    15. Siyu Song & Minwei Ai, 2025. "Internet use, support for democracy and political participation: a comparative study of Chinese mainland and Taiwan," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 12(1), pages 1-9, December.
    16. Oldřich Šubrt, 2022. "Relationship of Work-Related Stress and Offline Social Leisure on Political Participation of Voters in the United States," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-35, May.
    17. Chapkovski, Philipp, 2022. "Information avoidance in a polarized society," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    18. Henrik Serup Christensen, 2019. "Boosting Political Trust with Direct Democracy? The Case of the Finnish Citizens’ Initiative," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 7(2), pages 173-186.
    19. Jennifer Oser, 2022. "How Citizenship Norms and Digital Media Use Affect Political Participation: A Two-Wave Panel Analysis," Media and Communication, Cogitatio Press, vol. 10(3), pages 206-218.
    20. Natalia Candelo & Angela C. M. Oliveira & Catherine Eckel, 2023. "Trust among the poor: African Americans trust their neighbors, but are less trusting of public officials," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 196(3), pages 427-452, September.
    21. repec:osf:osfxxx:j43tn_v2 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Vanda Carreira & João Reis Machado & Lia Vasconcelos, 2016. "Engaging Citizen Participation—A Result of Trusting Governmental Institutions and Politicians in the Portuguese Democracy," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-11, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trust; Social cohesion; Governance; Social contract;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:unu:wpaper:wp-2025-34. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Siméon Rapin (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/widerfi.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.