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The Revenue Implication of Trade Liberalisation in Sub-Saharan Africa: Some new evidence

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  • Lanre Kassim

Abstract

Despite the advent of trade liberalisation, trade taxes still remain a huge source of tax revenues in Sub-Saharan Africa. Further trade reforms in the form of the Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) could, however, hinder output growth in the region if these reforms lead to a decline in total tax revenues. Motivated by this conundrum, our paper adopts panel data estimators to investigate the impact of trade liberalisation on total tax revenue across 28 Sub-Saharan African countries from 1981 to 2010. We also analysed the impact of freer trade policies on trade and domestic tax revenues. The results indicate that trade liberalisation is associated with an increase in total tax revenues. Also, the reduction of trade tariffs significantly increases and decreases domestic and trade tax revenues, respectively. In addition, greater urbanisation is associated with an increase in total tax revenues while a higher inflation rate decreases tax revenues.

Suggested Citation

  • Lanre Kassim, 2016. "The Revenue Implication of Trade Liberalisation in Sub-Saharan Africa: Some new evidence," Studies in Economics 1605, School of Economics, University of Kent.
  • Handle: RePEc:ukc:ukcedp:1605
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ernest Aryeetey, 2002. "Working Paper 41 - Informal Finance for Private Sector Development in Africa," Working Paper Series 175, African Development Bank.
    2. Vito Tanzi, 1989. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Policies on the Level of Taxation and the Fiscal Balance in Developing Countries," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 36(3), pages 633-656, September.
    3. Khattry, Barsha & Mohan Rao, J., 2002. "Fiscal Faux Pas?: An Analysis of the Revenue Implications of Trade Liberalization," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 1431-1444, August.
    4. Mr. Alexander Pivovarsky & Mr. Benedict J. Clements & Mr. Sanjeev Gupta & Mr. Erwin H Tiongson, 2003. "Foreign Aid and Revenue Response: Does the Composition of Aid Matter?," IMF Working Papers 2003/176, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Michael Moore & Maurizio Zanardi, 2011. "Does reduced trade tax revenue affect government spending patterns?," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 18(5), pages 555-579, October.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Michael Takudzwa Pasara & Michael Zuze, 2021. "Can Remittances Boost Tax Revenues in Zimbabwe? A Secondary Quarterly Time Series Analysis," Eurasian Journal of Economics and Finance, Eurasian Publications, vol. 9(2), pages 128-144.
    3. Adewole, Ayooluwa & Shipworth, Michelle & Lemaire, Xavier & Sanderson, Danielle, 2023. "Peer-to-Peer energy trading, independence aspirations and financial benefits among Nigerian households," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Trade liberalisation; Generalised method of moments; Fixed effects; Tax revenue; Sub-Saharan Africa;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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