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Exchange rate volatility and tax revenue: Evidence from Ghana

Author

Listed:
  • Isaac Kwesi Ofori
  • Camara Kwasi Obeng
  • Mark Kojo Armah

Abstract

The need for the Ghanaian government to generate enough revenue for development is becoming increasingly crucial in this era of slow growth, growing unemployment and high debt. However, tax revenue performance over the years reveals an unstable pattern. One key factor that has been overlooked in the literature in terms of the determinants of tax revenue is exchange rate volatility. Coming from the background of volatility in Ghana’s exchange rate, could it be the reason for the instability in the trend of tax revenue? This question is the subject matter of this study. To estimate the effect of exchange rate volatility on tax revenue, the study employed the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique after the yearly exchange rate volatilities had been generated using the GARCH(1,1) method. The results of the study suggest that exchange rate volatility has a deleterious effect on tax revenue both in the short-run and long-run but the effect is more pronounced in the long-run than the short-run. The study recommends that the Bank of Ghana step-up its exchange rate stabilization efforts to reduce exchange rate risk imposed on international trade players.

Suggested Citation

  • Isaac Kwesi Ofori & Camara Kwasi Obeng & Mark Kojo Armah, 2018. "Exchange rate volatility and tax revenue: Evidence from Ghana," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1537822-153, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:6:y:2018:i:1:p:1537822
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2018.1537822
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ofori, Isaac K. & Asongu, Simplice A., 2022. "Repackaging FDI for Inclusive Growth: Nullifying Effects and Policy Relevant Thresholds of Governance," MPRA Paper 111359, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Ofori, Isaac K. & Asongu, Simplice A., 2021. "Foreign Direct Investment, Governance and Inclusive Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa," EconStor Preprints 234518, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    3. Mark K. Armah, 2024. "The effect of central bank credibility on economic growth and output volatility in inflation targeting regime," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 26(2), pages 619-640, August.
    4. Sinem Koçak, 2021. "Is Exchange Rate Volatility An Important Determinant Of Tax Revenues? Evidence From Turkey," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 24(81), pages 33-49, September.
    5. Ofori, Isaac Kwesi & Obeng, Camara Kwasi & Mwinlaaru, Peter Yeltulme, 2021. "Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Tax Revenue Performance In Sub-Saharan Africa," MPRA Paper 107702, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Edward Annan & Mensah Marfo & Eleazer Fianko Ofei & Theresa Adusei Peasah Aidoo & De-Graft Johnson Dei & Linda Anane-Donkor & Constance Phyllis Puttick & Eric Hope, 2026. "The influence of exchange rate fluctuations on Import-Export performance in ghana: moderated by hedging strategies," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-37, January.
    7. Isaac K. Ofori & Pamela E. Ofori & Simplice A. Asongu, 2021. "Towards Efforts to Enhance Tax Revenue Mobilisation in Africa: Exploring Synergies between Industrialisation and ICTs," Research Africa Network Working Papers 21/058, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    8. Narayan Sethi & Saileja Mohanty & Sanhita Sucharita & Nanthakumar Loganathan, 2020. "Tax Reform And Economic Growth Nexus In India: Evidence From The Cointegration And Rolling-Window Causality," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 65(06), pages 1699-1725, December.
    9. Thomas Habanabakize & Lerato Mothib & Precious Mncayi, 2021. "The Nexus between Government Revenue and Macroeconomic Indicators in South Africa," Eurasian Journal of Business and Management, Eurasian Publications, vol. 9(4), pages 258-267.
    10. Emmanuel Buabeng & Enock Kojo Ayesu & Opoku Adabor, 2019. "The Effect of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on the Performance of Manufacturing Firms: An Empirical Evidence from Ghana," Economics Literature, WERI-World Economic Research Institute, vol. 1(2), pages 133-147, December.
    11. Tii N. Nchofoung & Elvis Dze Achuo & Linda Julie Tiague Zanfack, 2023. "Exchange rate misalignment and revenue mobilisation: a global comparative evidence of trade openness thresholds," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 281-310, December.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • A1 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F35 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Aid
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • H0 - Public Economics - - General
    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

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