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Iterated-Bootstrap Inference For Panel-Data Models

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  • Jochmans, Koen
  • Heller, Valérie

Abstract

Fixed-effect estimators for panel data models suffer from bias. In an n × m panel the bias is usually of order 1/m, implying that it is non-negligible unless n/m → 0. Moreover, the limit distribution features a bias term when n and m grow at the same rate. A recent literature has shown that bootstrap inference can correctly account for this asymptotic bias. This implies that inference based on the fixed-effect estimator, when performed by means of the bootstrap, behaves on par with inference based on a bias-corrected estimator. Both procedures are correct provided that n/m3 → 0. This rate arises because the bootstrap, like bias correction, introduces additional bias of order 1/m2. In this paper we argue that, by iterating the bootstrap, one accounts for this higher-order bias, thereby yielding valid inference as long as n/m5 → 0. The double bootstrap based directly on the (uncorrected) fixed-effect estimator therefore delivers gains equivalent to working with a second-order bias-corrected estimator. To illustrate we provide primitive conditions for iterating a residual bootstrap in the autoregressive model and show by means of a simulation exercise that the gains of iterating the bootstrap are substantial.

Suggested Citation

  • Jochmans, Koen & Heller, Valérie, 2026. "Iterated-Bootstrap Inference For Panel-Data Models," TSE Working Papers 26-1754, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
  • Handle: RePEc:tse:wpaper:131863
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kim, Min Seong & Sun, Yixiao, 2016. "BOOTSTRAP AND k-STEP BOOTSTRAP BIAS CORRECTIONS FOR THE FIXED EFFECTS ESTIMATOR IN NONLINEAR PANEL DATA MODELS," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(6), pages 1523-1568, December.
    2. Javier Alvarez & Manuel Arellano, 2003. "The Time Series and Cross-Section Asymptotics of Dynamic Panel Data Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(4), pages 1121-1159, July.
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    4. Dhaene, Geert & Jochmans, Koen, 2016. "Likelihood Inference In An Autoregression With Fixed Effects," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(5), pages 1178-1215, October.
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    7. Geert Dhaene & Koen Jochmans, 2015. "Split-panel Jackknife Estimation of Fixed-effect Models," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 82(3), pages 991-1030.
    8. Geert Dhaene & Koen Jochmans, 2015. "Split-panel Jackknife Estimation of Fixed-effect Models," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 82(3), pages 991-1030.
    9. Ayden Higgins & Koen Jochmans, 2024. "Bootstrap Inference for Fixed‐Effect Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 92(2), pages 411-427, March.
    10. Giuseppe Cavaliere & Sílvia Gonçalves & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen & Edoardo Zanelli, 2024. "Bootstrap Inference in the Presence of Bias," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 119(548), pages 2908-2918, October.
    11. Jinyong Hahn & Whitney Newey, 2004. "Jackknife and Analytical Bias Reduction for Nonlinear Panel Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(4), pages 1295-1319, July.
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    13. Nickell, Stephen J, 1981. "Biases in Dynamic Models with Fixed Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(6), pages 1417-1426, November.
    14. Dhaene, Geert & Jochmans, Koen, 2016. "Likelihood Inference In An Autoregression With Fixed Effects," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(5), pages 1178-1215, October.
    15. Higgins, Ayden & Jochmans, Koen, 2025. "Inference in Dynamic Models for Panel Data Using The Moving Block Bootstrap," TSE Working Papers 25-1620, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    16. Gonçalves, Sílvia & Kaffo, Maximilien, 2015. "Bootstrap inference for linear dynamic panel data models with individual fixed effects," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(2), pages 407-426.
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    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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