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Maximum Empirical Likelihood Estimation of the Spectral Measure of an Extreme Value Distribution

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  • Einmahl, J.H.J.

    (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)

  • Segers, J.J.J.

    (Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management)

Abstract

Consider a random sample from a bivariate distribution function F in the max-domain of attraction of an extreme-value distribution function G . This G is characterized by two extreme-value indices and a spectral measure, the latter determining the tail dependence structure of F . A major issue in multivariate extreme-value theory is the estimation of the spectral measure Φ p with respect to the L p norm. For every p ∈ [1,∞], a nonparametric maximum empirical likelihood estimator is proposed for Φ p . The main novelty is that these estimators are guaranteed to satisfy the moment constraints by which spectral measures are characterized. Asymptotic normality of the estimators is proved under conditions that allow for tail independence. Moreover, the conditions are easily verifiable as we demonstrate through a number of theoretical examples. A simulation study shows a substantially improved performance of the new estimators. Two case studies illustrate how to implement the methods in practice.
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Suggested Citation

  • Einmahl, J.H.J. & Segers, J.J.J., 2008. "Maximum Empirical Likelihood Estimation of the Spectral Measure of an Extreme Value Distribution," Other publications TiSEM e9340b9a-fe69-4e77-8594-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiutis:e9340b9a-fe69-4e77-8594-88794967cb15
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Einmahl, J.H.J. & Krajina, A. & Segers, J.J.J., 2007. "A Method of Moments Estimator of Tail Dependence," Other publications TiSEM 6ee60ab8-3c01-4bd9-aa5e-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    2. Drees, Holger & Huang, Xin, 1998. "Best Attainable Rates of Convergence for Estimators of the Stable Tail Dependence Function," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 25-47, January.
    3. Einmahl, John H.J. & de Haan, Laurens & Sinha, Ashoke Kumar, 1997. "Estimating the spectral measure of an extreme value distribution," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 70(2), pages 143-171, October.
    4. Einmahl, John H. J., 1997. "Poisson and Gaussian approximation of weighted local empirical processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 31-58, October.
    5. Einmahl, J.H.J. & de Haan, L.F.M. & Piterbarg, V.I., 2001. "Nonparametric estimation of the spectral measure of an extreme value distribution," Other publications TiSEM c3485b9b-a0bd-456f-9baa-0, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    6. de Haan, Laurens & Neves, Cláudia & Peng, Liang, 2008. "Parametric tail copula estimation and model testing," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(6), pages 1260-1275, July.
    7. Edward Frees & Emiliano Valdez, 1998. "Understanding Relationships Using Copulas," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(1), pages 1-25.
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    Cited by:

    1. Holger Drees, 2012. "Extreme value analysis of actuarial risks: estimation and model validation," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 96(2), pages 225-264, June.
    2. Gudendorf, Gordon & Segers, Johan, 2011. "Nonparametric estimation of an extreme-value copula in arbitrary dimensions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(1), pages 37-47, January.
    3. Deyuan Li & Liang Peng & Yongcheng Qi, 2011. "Empirical likelihood confidence intervals for the endpoint of a distribution function," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 20(2), pages 353-366, August.
    4. Lehtomaa, Jaakko & Resnick, Sidney I., 2020. "Asymptotic independence and support detection techniques for heavy-tailed multivariate data," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 262-277.
    5. Sabourin, Anne & Naveau, Philippe, 2014. "Bayesian Dirichlet mixture model for multivariate extremes: A re-parametrization," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 542-567.
    6. Khader Khadraoui & Pierre Ribereau, 2019. "Bayesian Inference with M-splines on Spectral Measure of Bivariate Extremes," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 765-788, September.
    7. Padoan, Simone A., 2011. "Multivariate extreme models based on underlying skew-t and skew-normal distributions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(5), pages 977-991, May.
    8. Sabourin, Anne, 2015. "Semi-parametric modeling of excesses above high multivariate thresholds with censored data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 126-146.
    9. de Carvalho, Miguel & Oumow, Boris & Segers, Johan & WarchoÅ‚, MichaÅ‚, 2012. "A Euclidean likelihood estimator for bivariate tail dependence," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2012013, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    10. Cui, Hengxin & Tan, Ken Seng & Yang, Fan & Zhou, Chen, 2022. "Asymptotic analysis of portfolio diversification," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 302-325.
    11. Goix, Nicolas & Sabourin, Anne & Clémençon, Stephan, 2017. "Sparse representation of multivariate extremes with applications to anomaly detection," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 12-31.
    12. Einmahl, J.H.J. & de Haan, L.F.M. & Krajina, A., 2009. "Estimating Extreme Bivariate Quantile Regions," Discussion Paper 2009-29, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    13. M. Ghil & Pascal Yiou & Stéphane Hallegatte & B. D. Malamud & P. Naveau & A. Soloviev & P. Friederichs & V. Keilis-Borok & D. Kondrashov & V. Kossobokov & O. Mestre & C. Nicolis & H. W. Rust & P. Sheb, 2011. "Extreme events: dynamics, statistics and prediction," Post-Print hal-00716514, HAL.
    14. Shi, Xiaojun & Tang, Qihe & Yuan, Zhongyi, 2017. "A limit distribution of credit portfolio losses with low default probabilities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 156-167.
    15. Hu, Shuang & Peng, Zuoxiang & Segers, Johan, 2022. "Modelling multivariate extreme value distributions via Markov trees," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2022021, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    16. Bücher, Axel & Volgushev, Stanislav & Zou, Nan, 2019. "On second order conditions in the multivariate block maxima and peak over threshold method," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 604-619.
    17. Kiriliouk, Anna & Segers, Johan & Warchol, Michal, 2014. "Nonparametric estimation of extremal dependence," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2014044, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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