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Parametric tail copula estimation and model testing

Author

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  • de Haan, Laurens
  • Neves, Cláudia
  • Peng, Liang

Abstract

Parametric models for tail copulas are being used for modeling tail dependence and maximum likelihood estimation is employed to estimate unknown parameters. However, two important questions seem unanswered in the literature: (1) What is the asymptotic distribution of the MLE and (2) how does one test the parametric model? In this paper, we answer these two questions in the case of a single parameter for ease of illustration. A simulation study is provided to investigate the finite sample performance of the proposed estimator and test.

Suggested Citation

  • de Haan, Laurens & Neves, Cláudia & Peng, Liang, 2008. "Parametric tail copula estimation and model testing," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(6), pages 1260-1275, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:99:y:2008:i:6:p:1260-1275
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    1. Rafael Schmidt & Ulrich Stadtmüller, 2006. "Non‐parametric Estimation of Tail Dependence," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 33(2), pages 307-335, June.
    2. Drees, Holger & Huang, Xin, 1998. "Best Attainable Rates of Convergence for Estimators of the Stable Tail Dependence Function," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 25-47, January.
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    4. Anthony W. Ledford & Jonathan A. Tawn, 1997. "Modelling Dependence within Joint Tail Regions," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 59(2), pages 475-499.
    5. Einmahl, J.H.J. & de Haan, L.F.M. & Li, D., 2006. "Weighted approximations of tail copula processes with applications to testing the bivariate extreme value condition," Other publications TiSEM 18b65ac3-ba79-4bff-ad53-2, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
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    2. Einmahl, J.H.J. & Krajina, A. & Segers, J.J.J., 2007. "A Method of Moments Estimator of Tail Dependence," Other publications TiSEM 6ee60ab8-3c01-4bd9-aa5e-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    3. Einmahl, J.H.J. & Krajina, A. & Segers, J., 2011. "An M-Estimator for Tail Dependence in Arbitrary Dimensions," Discussion Paper 2011-013, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    4. Einmahl, J.H.J. & Segers, J.J.J., 2008. "Maximum Empirical Likelihood Estimation of the Spectral Measure of an Extreme Value Distribution," Other publications TiSEM e9340b9a-fe69-4e77-8594-8, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    5. Carsten Bormann & Julia Schaumburg & Melanie Schienle, 2016. "Beyond Dimension two: A Test for Higher-Order Tail Risk," The Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 14(3), pages 552-580.
    6. Krajina, A., 2010. "An M-estimator of multivariate tail dependence," Other publications TiSEM 66518e07-db9a-4446-81be-c, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    7. Clément Dombry & Michael Falk & Maximilian Zott, 2019. "On Functional Records and Champions," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 1252-1277, September.
    8. Carsten Bormann & Melanie Schienle & Julia Schaumburg, 2014. "A Test for the Portion of Bivariate Dependence in Multivariate Tail Risk," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14-024/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 23 Jun 2014.
    9. Rootzen, Holger & Segers, Johan & Wadsworth, Jenny, 2016. "Multivariate peaks over thresholds models," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2016018, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    10. Kiriliouk, Anna & Lee, Jeongjin & Segers, Johan, 2023. "X-Vine Models for Multivariate Extremes," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2023038, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    11. Gardes, Laurent & Girard, Stéphane, 2015. "Nonparametric estimation of the conditional tail copula," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 1-16.
    12. Patton, Andrew, 2013. "Copula Methods for Forecasting Multivariate Time Series," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 899-960, Elsevier.
    13. Khader Khadraoui & Pierre Ribereau, 2019. "Bayesian Inference with M-splines on Spectral Measure of Bivariate Extremes," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 765-788, September.
    14. Benchaira, Souad & Meraghni, Djamel & Necir, Abdelhakim, 2015. "On the asymptotic normality of the extreme value index for right-truncated data," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 378-384.

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