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PIB reel et pouvoir d'achat de la production provinciale

  • Macdonald, Ryan

Ce document traite de l'effet des variations des prix des importations et des exportations sur le bien etre economique du Canada et de chaque province. Il decrit la facon dont les changements des termes de l'echange et les fluctuations du ratio des prix des biens echanges aux prix des biens non echanges influent sur le pouvoir d'achat de la production interieure. Nous montrons que les changements des termes de l'echange ont un effet plus important a court qu'a long terme. En outre, nous montrons qu'omettre de tenir compte de ces changements dans les analyses des donnees macroeconomiques peut aboutir a une interpretation incorrecte des sources de la croissance ou du declin de la consommation, de l'investissement et des importations. La grandeur, la direction et les effets des fluctuations des termes de l'echange varient selon la province et au cours du temps. Les variations des prix des produits de base s'averent avoir des effets appreciables. L'effet le plus important des changements des termes de l'echange s'observe en Alberta et a Terre Neuve et Labrador; en revanche, le Manitoba parait relativement peu touche.

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File URL: http://www5.statcan.gc.ca/olc-cel/olc.action?ObjId=11F0027M2007046&ObjType=46&lang=fr&limit=0
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Paper provided by Statistics Canada, Direction des etudes analytiques in its series Serie de documents de recherche sur l'analyse economique (AE) with number 2007046f.

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Date of creation: 24 Jul 2007
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Handle: RePEc:stc:stcp5f:2007046f
Contact details of provider: Postal: Tunney's Pasture, Ottawa, Ontario, K1A 0T6
Web page: http://www.statcan.gc.ca

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  1. Diewart, W Erwin & Morrison, Catherine J, 1986. "Adjusting Output and Productivity Indexes for Changes in the Terms of Trade," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 96(383), pages 659-79, September.
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