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Mapping the exposure to natural disaster losses for Italian municipalities

Author

Listed:
  • Giovanni Marin

    (IRCrES-CNR, Milano, Italy; SEEDS, Italy)

  • Marco Modica

    (IRCrES-CNR, Milano, Italy; SEEDS, Italy)

Abstract

Even though the correct assessment of risks is a key aspect of the risk management analysis, we argue that limited effort has been devoted in the assessment of full measures of economic exposure at very low scale. For this reason, we aim at providing a complete and detailed map of the exposure of economic activities to natural disasters in the Italian context. We use Input-Output model and spatial autocorrelation (Moran's I) to provide information about several socio-economic variables, such as population density, employment density, firms’ turnover and capital stock, that can be seen as direct and indirect socio-economic exposure to natural disasters. These measures can be easily incorporated into risk assessment models to provide a clear picture of the disaster risk for Italian local areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Giovanni Marin & Marco Modica, 2016. "Mapping the exposure to natural disaster losses for Italian municipalities," SEEDS Working Papers 0916, SEEDS, Sustainability Environmental Economics and Dynamics Studies, revised Oct 2016.
  • Handle: RePEc:srt:wpaper:0916
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

    Economic exposure; Disaster impact; Risk assessment; Risk management;
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