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A Dynamic Theory of Lending Standards

Author

Listed:
  • Michael Fishman

    (Northwestern University)

  • Jonathan Parker

    (MIT)

  • Ludwig Straub

    (Harvard)

Abstract

We develop a dynamic model of credit markets in which both lending standards and the quality composition of the borrower pool are endogenous. Borrowers can be of high or low quality, and each lender privately decides on its lending standard. Lending standards are dynamic strategic complements: tighter screening worsens the future pool of borrowers, increasing the incentive to screen in the future. The market exhibits two steady states, one with loose and one with tight lending standards. Lending standards can inefficiently amplify and propagate temporary deteriorations in fundamentals. We discuss policies that improve on market outcomes, and pitfalls to avoid.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Fishman & Jonathan Parker & Ludwig Straub, 2019. "A Dynamic Theory of Lending Standards," 2019 Meeting Papers 1344, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  • Handle: RePEc:red:sed019:1344
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ricci, Lorenzo & Soggia, Giovanni & Trimarchi, Lorenzo, 2023. "The impact of bank lending standards on credit to firms," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    2. Toni Ahnert & Martin Kuncl, 2019. "Loan Insurance, Market Liquidity, and Lending Standards," Staff Working Papers 19-47, Bank of Canada.
    3. Hu, Yunzhi, 2022. "A dynamic theory of bank lending, firm entry, and investment fluctuations," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    4. Farboodi, Maryam & Kondor, Peter, 2023. "Cleansing by tight credit: rational cycles and endogenous lending standards," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 119226, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Toni Ahnert & Martin Kuncl, 2024. "Government Loan Guarantees, Market Liquidity, and Lending Standards," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(7), pages 4502-4532, July.
    6. Kirti, Divya, 2025. "Lending standards and output growth," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    7. Robert E. Hall & Marianna Kudlyak, 2022. "Why Has the US Economy Recovered So Consistently from Every Recession in the Past 70 Years?," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36(1), pages 1-55.
    8. Ana María Herrera & Raoul Minetti & Matthew Schaffer, 2025. "Financial Liberalization, Credit Market Dynamism, and Allocative Efficiency," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 57(6), pages 1559-1596, September.
    9. Farboodi, Maryam & Kondor, Péter, 2023. "Cleansing by tight credit: Rational cycles and endogenous lending standards," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 46-67.
    10. Hanns Ariho & Benjamin Musiita & Arthur Nuwagaba, 2025. "Monetary Policy Tools and Lending Rates in Uganda: A Quantitative Analysis," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 17(2), pages 68-80.
    11. Hachem, Kinda, 2021. "Inefficiently low screening with Walrasian markets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 935-948.
    12. Ewa Wróbel, 2022. "What drives bank lending policy? The evidence from bank lending survey for Poland," NBP Working Papers 352, Narodowy Bank Polski.
    13. Maryam Farboodi & Péter Kondor, 2020. "Rational Sentiments and Economic Cycles," NBER Working Papers 27472, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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