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Why is growth less inclusive in Indonesia?

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  • Dartanto, Teguh

Abstract

The speed of poverty reduction in Indonesia has begun to slow down with inequality continuing to rise significantly. Examining the macroeconomic dataset for last three decades, this study found that inclusive growth is observed only during 1980s in which one percent of economic growth could reduce the poverty rate by 0.72 percentage point and the Gini index by 0.0021 point. Nevertheless, during the 1990s and 2000s, the growth is less inclusive as indicated by shrinking the elasticity of poverty to growth and the positive elasticity of inequality to growth. The elasticity of employment to growth has also continuously declined from 1.12 (1985) to 0.21 (2012). There are two possible reasons for less inclusive growth in Indonesia: first, the Indonesian economy is moving into more services-oriented economy and capital-intensive sectors such as mining, financial and telecommunications that create less job opportunities particularly for unskilled labor. It deprives the poor to benefit from a rising economy. Second, the productivity of industrial sector and service sector is more than seven-fold and three-fold of the agriculture’s productivity, respectively. Consequently, the employees working at service and industry sectors are benefit much more than those working in agriculture sector. However, Indonesia has already two essential elements of the necessary condition for inclusive growth that are the stable macroeconomic condition and sound economic fundamentals. The government should now focus on the sufficient condition for inclusive growth that strengthens micro level policies such as financial inclusion, improving access to education, health insurance and other social policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Dartanto, Teguh, 2013. "Why is growth less inclusive in Indonesia?," MPRA Paper 65136, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2014.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65136
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Agustina, Cut Dian R.D. & del Granado, Javier Arze & Bulman, Tim & Fengler, Wolfgang & Ikhsan, Mohamad, 2008. "Black hole or black gold ? the impact of oil and gas prices on Indonesia's public finances," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4718, The World Bank.
    2. Teguh Dartanto & Usman, 2011. "Volatility of World Soybean Prices, Import Tariffs and Poverty in Indonesia," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 5(2), pages 139-181, May.
    3. Dagva Boldbaatar, 2006. "Measurement and Implication of Commercial Banks' Interest Rate Spread in Selected SEACEN Countries," Research Studies, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number rp64.
    4. Miranda S Goeltom, 2008. "The transmission mechanisms of monetary policy in Indonesia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Transmission mechanisms for monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 35, pages 309-332, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Asep Suryahadi & Gracia Hadiwidjaja & Sudarno Sumarto, 2012. "Economic growth and poverty reduction in Indonesia before and after the asian financial crisis," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(2), pages 209-227, August.
    6. Banerjee, Abhijit V. & Duflo, Esther, 2005. "Growth Theory through the Lens of Development Economics," Handbook of Economic Growth, in: Philippe Aghion & Steven Durlauf (ed.), Handbook of Economic Growth, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 7, pages 473-552, Elsevier.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dartanto, Teguh & Otsubo, Shigeru, 2016. "Intrageneration Poverty Dynamics in Indonesia: Households’ Welfare Mobility Before, During, and After the Asian Financial Crisis," Working Papers 117, JICA Research Institute.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inclusive Growth; Poverty; Inequality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I3 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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