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Bütçe Büyüklükleri/Performansı ve Büyüme Verileri: Türkiye Üzerine (2000:01-2012.03) Zaman Serileri Analizi
[Budget Size / Performance and Growth Data: Time Series Analysis (2000:01-2012:03) on Turkey]

Author

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  • KARGI, Bilal

Abstract

In this study, the overall sum of the activities of the public sector in the economy, "public economic efficiency" and the event is defined as the conjectural characteristics of the different forms have changed, but is assumed to continue. Still the primary economic goals set by the mechanisms of political conjuncture in accordance with the public sector on the basis of trying to alter the style of the event. Turkey's economy, the continuity of economic activity, the size of the budget (budget expenditure) and budget performance (budget deficits) focuses on taking the relationship between the growth data are subject to time-series analysis. Quarterly data for the period of 2000:01-2012:03 for the economy of Turkey were studied. This is based on the data, within the general framework is derived from the above-mentioned three propositions are tested. First, budget deficits correlated significantly with the growth data. The second proposition, with direct and indirect tax revenues as share of total tax revenues and the size of its budget, changes in the size of the public sector are examined. In the third proposal, the budget focuses on the relationship between size of the growth data. As the results in the period, the size of the public sector budget in a strong relationship with GDP and the budget is largely funded by tax revenues. Tax revenues from indirect taxes at an average rate of 68.47% is obtained.

Suggested Citation

  • KARGI, Bilal, 2013. "Bütçe Büyüklükleri/Performansı ve Büyüme Verileri: Türkiye Üzerine (2000:01-2012.03) Zaman Serileri Analizi
    [Budget Size / Performance and Growth Data: Time Series Analysis (2000:01-2012:03) on Tur
    ," MPRA Paper 55705, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:55705
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/55705/1/MPRA_paper_55705.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barro, Robert J, 1974. "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(6), pages 1095-1117, Nov.-Dec..
    2. Trish Kelly, 1997. "Public expenditures and growth," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 60-84.
    3. Barro, Robert J, 1990. "Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 103-126, October.
    4. John Loizides & George Vamvoukas, 2005. "Government expenditure and economic growth: Evidence from trivariate causality testing," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 8, pages 125-152, May.
    5. Robert J. Barro, 1991. "Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 106(2), pages 407-443.
    6. Kneller, Richard & Bleaney, Michael F. & Gemmell, Norman, 1999. "Fiscal policy and growth: evidence from OECD countries," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(2), pages 171-190, November.
    7. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    8. Wu, Shih-Ying & Tang, Jenn-Hong & Lin, Eric S., 2010. "The impact of government expenditure on economic growth: How sensitive to the level of development?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 804-817, November.
    9. Alan T. Peacock & Jack Wiseman, 1979. "Approaches To the Analysis of Government Expenditure Growth," Public Finance Review, , vol. 7(1), pages 3-23, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Budget Size; Budget Performance; Tax Income; Economic Growth; Time Series Analysis;

    JEL classification:

    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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