IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/48221.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Economic Risk Exposure of Selected Projects and Risk Attitude of Investors; Evidence from Liberia

Author

Listed:
  • Gul, Ejaz

Abstract

Investment in long lived projects such as buildings are characterized by uncertainties regarding project life, operation and maintenance costs, revenues and other factors that affect project economics. Since the exact values of these variable factors are usually unknown, it is difficult to make economic evaluations with a high degree of reliability. A common approach to project investment analysis is to apply the economic methods for estimates of project input variables and to present results in single value, deterministic terms. Yet failures to account for uncertain input variables expose the decision makers to risk. Current research is about quantifying the economic risk exposure of the projects and willingness of investors to take a chance on an investment of uncertain outcome based on risk attitude. Paper explains typical investment situations of decision makers who do not know with certainty the outcome of their investment and illustrates with probability distribution a way of measuring risk exposure and introduces the use of utility functions to determine a decision maker’s risk attitude. It is concluded from the study that to determine the true value of investments for risk takers, economic analysis must account for increasing marginal satisfaction of higher payoffs with corresponding increases in marginal utility. A firm or institution can use utility theory in a normative or prescriptive role to establish risk policy for investments that support the firm’s or institution’s risk attitude. Overall the paper provides a useful study on economic risk exposure of projects and risk attitudes of investors in Monrovia, the capital of Liberia.

Suggested Citation

  • Gul, Ejaz, 2013. "Economic Risk Exposure of Selected Projects and Risk Attitude of Investors; Evidence from Liberia," MPRA Paper 48221, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:48221
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/48221/2/MPRA_paper_48221.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eckel, Catherine C. & Grossman, Philip J., 2008. "Men, Women and Risk Aversion: Experimental Evidence," Handbook of Experimental Economics Results, Elsevier.
    2. Brennan, Timothy J., 1993. "The Futility of Multiple Utility," Economics and Philosophy, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(01), pages 155-164, April.
    3. Keeney,Ralph L. & Raiffa,Howard, 1993. "Decisions with Multiple Objectives," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521438834.
    4. Broome,John, 1999. "Ethics out of Economics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521642750.
    5. Hausman, Daniel M & McPherson, Michael S, 1993. "Taking Ethics Seriously: Economics and Contemporary Moral Philosophy," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 31(2), pages 671-731, June.
    6. Arrow, Kenneth J, 1994. "Methodological Individualism and Social Knowledge," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(2), pages 1-9, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. repec:pid:journl:v:55:y:2016:i:4:p:805-822 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Ejaz Gul & Imran Sharif Chaudhry, 2014. "Qualitative Assessment of Energy Initiative: Case Study from Liberia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 4(3), pages 360-372.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investment; economic; risk exposure; probability function; risk attitude; utility function.;

    JEL classification:

    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:48221. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Joachim Winter) or (Rebekah McClure). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.