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Financial versus human Resources in the Greek - Turkish Arms Race 10 Years on: A forecasting Investigation using Artificial Neural Networks

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  • Zombanakis, George A.
  • Andreou, Andreas A.

Abstract

This paper looks into the Greek–Turkish arms race a decade after an earlier contribution to the issue that relied heavily on artificial neural networks. The time period between the two papers contributes to the reliability of the results derived, not just by increasing the number of observations, but also mainly by incorporating the progress made in the realm of artificial intelligence. The focus on the case of both countries unlike the paper mentioned above that dealt with just the Greek side provides ample room for comparative purposes regarding the determinants of defense expenditure on both sides. The results derived in terms of input significance estimation support the findings of the earlier research as indicated above, pointing to the leading role of the demographic preponderance of Turkey over Greece. The paper also points to the fact that 10 years later, Turkey continues to set the arms race rules against its rival by determining the defense expenditure of Greece, whereas the role of the latter in affecting the military spending of Turkey is non-existent.

Suggested Citation

  • Zombanakis, George A. & Andreou, Andreas A., 2010. "Financial versus human Resources in the Greek - Turkish Arms Race 10 Years on: A forecasting Investigation using Artificial Neural Networks," MPRA Paper 38408, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 08 Nov 2010.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:38408
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jurgen Brauer, 1991. "Perspective," Challenge, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 54-58, May.
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    8. A. S. Andreou & K. E. Parsopoulos & M. N. Vrahatis & G. A. Zombanakis, 2002. "Optimal versus required defence expenditure: The case of the Greek-Turkish arms race," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(4), pages 329-347.
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    10. A. S. Andreoua & G. A. Zombanakisb, 2000. "Financial versus human resources in the Greek-Turkish arms race: A forecasting investigation using artificial neural networks," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 403-426.
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    Cited by:

    1. Andreou Andreas S. & Zombanakis George A. & Migiakis Petros M., 2013. "On Defence Expenditure Reduction: Balancing Between Austerity and Security in Greece," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 19(3), pages 437-458, December.
    2. Bragoudakis Zacharias G. & Zombanakis George A., 2017. "Earning a Peace Dividend in a Crisis Environment: The Greek Case," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 23(3), pages 1-15, August.
    3. Karamanis, Dimitrios & Kechrinioti, Alexandra, 2023. "The Greek-Turkish rivalry: A Bayesian VAR approach," MPRA Paper 116827, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Asiye TÜTÜNCÜ & Burak ŞAHİNGÖZ, 2020. "Arms Race Between Turkey and Greece: Time-Varying Causality Analysis Abstract: An arms race is the dynamic process followed by states in the acquisition of weapons. An arms race requires mutual milita," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 28(45).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Greece Turkey Arms race Neural networks;

    JEL classification:

    • C45 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Neural Networks and Related Topics
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War

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