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O impacto do crescimento econômico sobre as rodovias de São Paulo: uma análise do modelo de isumo-poduto combinado com geoprocessamento
[The impact of economic growth on the highways in Sa Paulo: an analysis of input-output combined with geoprocessing]

Author

Listed:
  • Ichihara, Silvio Massaru
  • Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins

Abstract

The knowledge of the transport infrastructure is essential to define development strategies, especially in countries with continental dimensions like Brazil. Information about the spatial distribution of the economic agents and its commercial transactions allow the creation of specific regional plans. This study attempts to estimate the impact of the economic growth on the highways, using economic data of the Sao Paulo State. Initially, the economic flows among the cities of the State are estimated using an input-output gravity model, considering entropy maximization model and the inter-industry relationships derived from the input-output systems; later, these flows are incorporated in a geographic information system applied to transport network. Thus, the economic value associated to each highway is determined, allowing evaluate the difference between the years of 2002 and 2012, through the analysis of impact using the Leontief inverse matrix. The results are demonstrated by maps, making possible the direct evaluation about demand of transport network, easily understood by other areas technicians.

Suggested Citation

  • Ichihara, Silvio Massaru & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2008. "O impacto do crescimento econômico sobre as rodovias de São Paulo: uma análise do modelo de isumo-poduto combinado com geoprocessamento
    [The impact of economic growth on the highways in Sa Paulo: a
    ," MPRA Paper 31403, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:31403
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/31403/1/MPRA_paper_31403.pdf
    File Function: original version
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sesso Filho, Umberto Antonio & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2009. "Estrutura produtiva do Pará: Uma análise de insumo-produto
      [Production structure of Para: An Analysis of input-output]
      ," MPRA Paper 30732, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Guilhoto, J. J. M. & Sesso Filho, U. A., 2005. "Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto a Partir De Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais
      [Estimation of input-output matrix using preliminary data from national accounts]
      ," MPRA Paper 38212, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Inter-regional flows; transport; input-output; GIS; regional analysis;

    JEL classification:

    • R0 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods
    • R4 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics

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