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Autoregressive multifactor APT model for U.S. Equity Markets

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  • Malhotra, Karan

Abstract

Arbitrage Pricing Theory is a one period asset pricing model used to predict equity returns based on a multivariate linear regression. We choose three sets of factors – Market specific, firm specific, and an autoregressive return term to explain returns on twenty U.S. stocks, using monthly data over the period 2000-2005. Our findings indicate that, apart from the CAPM beta factor, at least five other factors are significant in determining time series and cross sectional variations in returns. The times series regression establishes factor loadings and the cross sectional regression gives the risk premiums associated with these factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Malhotra, Karan, 2010. "Autoregressive multifactor APT model for U.S. Equity Markets," MPRA Paper 23418, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:23418
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shanken, Jay, 1987. "Multivariate proxies and asset pricing relations : Living with the Roll critique," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 91-110, March.
    2. Schwert, G William, 1981. "The Adjustment of Stock Prices to Information about Inflation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(1), pages 15-29, March.
    3. Ashoka Mody & Mark P. Taylor, 2003. "The High-Yield Spread as a Predictor of Real Economic Activity: Evidence of a Financial Accelerator for the United States," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 50(3), pages 1-3.
    4. Nicolaas, Patricia Groenewold Fraser, 1997. "Share Prices and Macroeconomic Factors," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(9‐10), pages 1367-1383, October.
    5. Jae-Kwang Hwang, 1999. "The relationship between stock prices and exchange rates: Evidence from Canada," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 5(3), pages 397-397, August.
    6. Gur Huberman & Zhenyu Wang, 2005. "Arbitrage pricing theory," Staff Reports 216, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
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    Cited by:

    1. Blanka Francová, 2017. "Valuation of Government Bonds: the Exchange Rate Is an Important Aspect," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 65(6), pages 1911-1916.
    2. Carrasco Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique & Peixoto Messias, Iasmin Emillyn, 2022. "Macroeconomic factors and value and growth strategies: evidence from Brazil," MPRA Paper 114875, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Blanka Francová, 2018. "An Analysis of the Impact of Selected Factors on the Bond Market," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 66(6), pages 1451-1458.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Equity Pricing; APT; Arbitrage pricing theory; Multifactor model; Security; Pricing; CAPM;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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