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trade implications of extending the turkey-eu customs union agreement to agricultural products

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  • Eruygur, H. Ozan
  • Cakmak, Erol H.

Abstract

Turkey’s membership of EU will lead to the enlargement of already established customs union between EU and Turkey for the agricultural products. This involves not only a full liberalization of agricultural trade within the EU but also the implementation of a Common external tariff. In this new situation, trade diversion and creation effects for agro-food trade will emerge. In terms of article XXIV of GATT, the possible results of these counteracting effects are important. In this paper, using the Armington assumption, the trade diversion and creation effects of Turkey’s membership for the agricultural trade will be calculated and analyzed.

Suggested Citation

  • Eruygur, H. Ozan & Cakmak, Erol H., 2005. "trade implications of extending the turkey-eu customs union agreement to agricultural products," MPRA Paper 12438, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:12438
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hickman, Bert G. & Lau, Lawrence J., 1973. "Elasticities of substitution and export demands in a world trade model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 4(4), pages 347-380, December.
    2. Clinton R. Shiells & Kenneth A. Reinert, 1993. "Armington Models and Terms-of-Trade Effects: Some Econometric Evidence for North America," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 26(2), pages 299-316, May.
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    1. Thomas Fellmann & Myrna Van Leeuwen & Petra Salamon & Ali Koç & Gülden Bölük & Andrzej Tabeau & Roberto Esposti & Andrea Bonfiglio & Antonello Lobianco & Kevin Hanrahan, 2011. "Potential impacts on agricultural commodity markets of an EU enlargement to Turkey Extension of the AGMEMOD model towards Turkey and accession scenario," JRC Research Reports JRC60663, Joint Research Centre.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Elasticities of Substitution; Armington Elasticities; Fixed Effect Panel; Random Effect Panel; Trade Creation; Trade Diversion; EU Membership of Turkey; Agricultural Products; Turkey; Article XXIV of GATT; Turkish Agricultural Sector Model; TAGRIS;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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