Integrating Behavioral Choice into Epidemiological Models of the AIDS Epidemic
Increased HIV risk creates incentives for people with low sexual activity to reduce their activity, but may make high-activity people fatalistic, leading them to reduce their activity only slightly, or actually increase it. If high-activity people reduce their activity by a smaller proportion than low-activity people, the composition of the pool of available partners will worsen, creating positive feedbacks, and possibly multiple steady state levels of prevalence. The timing of public health efforts may affect long-run HIV prevalence.
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| Length: | |
| Date of creation: | Jan 1996 |
| Date of revision: | |
| Publication status: | published as The Quarterly Journal Of Economics, Volume CXI, Issue 2 (May 1996): 549-573. |
| Handle: | RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5428 |
| Note: | HE |
| Contact details of provider: | Postal: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A. Phone: 617-868-3900 Web page: http://www.nber.org Email: More information through EDIRC
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References listed on IDEAS
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NBER Working Papers
5148, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Working Papers
9401, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, University of Chicago.
- Avner Ahituv & V. Joseph Hotz & Tomas Philipson, . "Will the AIDS Epidemic be Self-Limiting? Evidence on the Responsiveness of the Demand for Condoms to the Prevalence of AIDS," University of Chicago - Population Research Center 93-3, Chicago - Population Research Center.
- Russell Cooper & Andrew John, 1988. "Coordinating Coordination Failures in Keynesian Models," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 103(3), pages 441-463.
- Michael Kremer, 1994. "Can Having Fewer Partners Increase Prevalence of Aids?," NBER Working Papers 4942, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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