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Terrorism and Political Attitudes: Evidence from European Social Surveys

Author

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  • Giovanni Peri
  • Daniel I. Rees
  • Brock Smith

Abstract

Since the turn of the last century, nationalistic political parties have been gaining support in Europe. Over the same period, terror attacks have increased. Using data from European Social Surveys (ESS), we examine the effects of terror attacks involving at least one fatality on attitudes towards immigrants and government institutions. Comparing within-country responses to the ESS shortly before and after fatal terror attacks, we find little evidence of a shift in attitudes against immigrants. Consistent with “rally-around-the flag” effects documented by political scientists, ESS respondents living in the region that was attacked tend to express more trust in parliament and more satisfaction with the national government in the post- as compared to the pre-attack period. Similarly, we find evidence that particularly salient terror attacks can produce nationwide rally-around-the-flag effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Giovanni Peri & Daniel I. Rees & Brock Smith, 2021. "Terrorism and Political Attitudes: Evidence from European Social Surveys," NBER Working Papers 28662, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:28662
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    Cited by:

    1. Rees, Daniel I. & Smith, Brock, 2022. "Terror attacks and election outcomes in Europe, 1970–2017," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    2. Sebastian Roché & Simon Varaine, 2025. "Harmful or helpful? Trust in the police after a shock: a test of (dual) expectancy disconfirmation theory," Post-Print halshs-05120570, HAL.
    3. Matteo Sestito, 2023. "Identity conflict, ethnocentrism and social cohesion," AMSE Working Papers 2304, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    4. Matteo Sestito, 2023. "Identity conflict, ethnocentrism and social cohesion," Post-Print halshs-03953975, HAL.
    5. Shuai Chen, 2022. "Rally Post-Terrorism," CESifo Working Paper Series 9638, CESifo.
    6. Shuai Chen, 2025. "Rally post-terrorism," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 38(2), pages 1-29, June.
    7. Bauer, Hannah & Schulze, Günther G., 2022. "Terror and social cohesion," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    8. repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-03953975 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Sestito, Matteo, 2025. "Identity conflict, ethnocentrism and social cohesion," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    10. Antonis Adam & Evi Tsavou, 2024. "Assessing the effect of international terrorism on civil liberties using a potential outcomes framework," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 200(1), pages 201-236, July.
    11. Arin, K. Peren & Khalil, Umair & Mazrekaj, Deni & Thum, Marcel, 2026. "Terrorism and misperceptions: Evidence from Europe," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War

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