Averting Catastrophes that Kill
We face a variety of potential catastrophes; nuclear or bioterrorism, a climate catastrophe, and a "mega-virus" are examples. Martin and Pindyck (AER 2015) showed that decisions to avert such catastrophes are interdependent, so that simple cost-benefit analysis breaks down. They assumed that catastrophic events cause "destruction," i.e., a reduction in the stream of consumption. But some catastrophes cause death instead of, or in addition to, destruction. Here we incorporate death in a model of catastrophe avoidance, and show how it affects the interdependence of catastrophic events and the "willingness to pay" to avoid those events.
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|Date of creation:||Apr 2017|
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- Chris Rohlfs & Ryan Sullivan & Thomas Kniesner, 2015.
"New Estimates of the Value of a Statistical Life Using Air Bag Regulations as a Quasi-experiment,"
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy,
American Economic Association, vol. 7(1), pages 331-359, February.
- Rohlfs, Chris & Sullivan, Ryan & Kniesner, Thomas J., 2012. "New Estimates of the Value of a Statistical Life Using Air Bag Regulations as a Quasi-Experiment," IZA Discussion Papers 6994, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
- Ian W. R. Martin & Robert S. Pindyck, 2015. "Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(10), pages 2947-2985, October.
- Ian W.R. Martin & Robert S. Pindyck, 2014. "Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis," NBER Working Papers 20215, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Martin, Ian & Pindyck, Robert, 2015. "Averting Catastrophes: The Strange Economics of Scylla and Charybdis," CEPR Discussion Papers 10730, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ian Martin & R. S. Pindyck, 2015. "Averting catastrophes: the strange economics of Scylla and Charybdis," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 62139, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Ian W. R. Martin, 2008. "Disasters and the Welfare Cost of Uncertainty," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 74-78, May.
- Ian W. Martin, 2013. "Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with Higher Cumulants," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 80(2), pages 745-773.
- Ian Martin, 2010. "Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with Higher Cumulants," NBER Working Papers 16153, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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