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A Mean-Variance Benchmark for Intertemporal Portfolio Theory

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  • John H. Cochrane

Abstract

Mean-variance portfolio theory can apply to the streams of payoffs such as dividends following an initial investment, in place of one-period returns. This description is especially useful when returns are not independent over time and investors have non-marketed income. Investors hedge their outside income streams, and then their optimal payoff is split between an indexed perpetuity - the risk-free payoff - and a long-run mean-variance efficient payoff. "Long-run" moments sum over time as well as states of nature. In equilibrium, long-run expected returns vary with long-run market betas and outside- income betas. State-variable hedges do not appear in optimal payoffs or this equilibrium.

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  • John H. Cochrane, 2013. "A Mean-Variance Benchmark for Intertemporal Portfolio Theory," NBER Working Papers 18768, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:18768 Note: AP
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    Cited by:

    1. Anastasia Petraki & Anna Zalewska, 2017. "Jumping over a low hurdle: personal pension fund performance," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 48(1), pages 153-190, January.
    2. Esben Hedegaard & Robert J. Hodrick, 2014. "Measuring the Risk-Return Tradeoff with Time-Varying Conditional Covariances," NBER Working Papers 20245, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Kraft, Holger & Seiferling, Thomas & Seifried, Frank Thomas, 2014. "Asset pricing and consumption-portfolio choice with recursive utility and unspanned risk," SAFE Working Paper Series 52, Research Center SAFE - Sustainable Architecture for Finance in Europe, Goethe University Frankfurt.
    4. Boubaker, Sabri & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Paltalidis, Nikos, 2017. "Assessing the effects of unconventional monetary policy and low interest rates on pension fund risk incentives," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 35-52.
    5. Holger Kraft & Thomas Seiferling & Frank Thomas Seifried, 2017. "Optimal consumption and investment with Epstein–Zin recursive utility," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 187-226, January.
    6. Simone Cerreia Vioglio & Fabio Maccheroni & Massimo Marinacci, 2016. "Orthogonal Decompositions in Hilbert A-Modules," Working Papers 577, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
    7. Boubaker, Sabri & Gounopoulos, Dimitrios & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Paltalidis, Nikos, 2015. "Assessing the effects of unconventional monetary policy on pension funds risk incentives," MPRA Paper 73398, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Aug 2016.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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