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Tax Reform and Financial Markets

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  • Patric H. Hendershott

Abstract

Four tax reform proposals have been advanced in recent years: Bradley-Gephardt, Kemp-Kasten, Treasury-Department and the Administration plan. These plans could have significant impacts on financial markets. Reductions ininvestment incentives and marginal tax rates would tend to lower before-tax interest rates, and lower taxes on existing corporate capital would tend to increase stock prices. The pattern of security issues would be altered by resulting changes in the composition of investment between real estate and nonreal estate assets and in desired loan-to-value ratios. The paper compares and contrasts the likely impacts of each of the four reform proposals on interest rate (taxable and tax-exempt), security flows, and stock prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Patric H. Hendershott, 1985. "Tax Reform and Financial Markets," NBER Working Papers 1707, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1707
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alan J. Auerbach & Laurence J. Kotlikoff, 1982. "Investment versus Savings Incentives: The Size of the Bang for the Buck and the Potential for Self-Financing Business Tax Cuts," NBER Working Papers 1027, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Peek, Joe & Wilcox, James A, 1984. "The Degree of Fiscal Illusion in Interest Rates: Some Direct Estimates," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 74(5), pages 1061-1066, December.
    3. Martin Feldstein, 1983. "Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Prices of Land and Gold," NBER Chapters,in: Inflation, Tax Rules, and Capital Formation, pages 221-228 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Martin Feldstein & Lawrence Summers, 1983. "Inflation, Tax Rules, and the Long-term Interest Rate," NBER Chapters,in: Inflation, Tax Rules, and Capital Formation, pages 153-185 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. George M. CONSTANTINIDES & Jonathan E. INGERSOLL Jr., 2005. "Optimal Bond Trading With Personal Taxes," World Scientific Book Chapters,in: Theory Of Valuation, chapter 6, pages 165-206 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Summers, Lawrence H, 1981. "Capital Taxation and Accumulation in a Life Cycle Growth Model," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(4), pages 533-544, September.
    7. William C. Brainard & John B. Shoven & Laurence Weiss, 1980. "The Financial Valuation of the Return to Capital," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 11(2), pages 453-512.
    8. Brainard, William C. & Shoven, John B., 1980. "The financial valuation of the return to capital," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue 4, pages 43-104.
    9. Miller, Merton H, 1977. "Debt and Taxes," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 32(2), pages 261-275, May.
    10. Patric H. Hendershott, 1985. "Tax Reform, Interest Rates and Capital Allocation," NBER Working Papers 1708, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Downs & Patric H. Hendershott, 1986. "Tax Policy and Stock Prices," NBER Working Papers 2094, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Patric H. Hendershott & David C. Ling, 1985. "The Administration Tax Reform Proposal and Housing," NBER Working Papers 1740, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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