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The Lender of Last Resort and the Run on the Savings and Loans

  • Peter M. Garber

Speculative runs on asset price fixing schemes are most often attributed either to an inexplicable mass hysteria or to a sudden, unpredictable random disturbance. Such attribution places runs and panics outside of the realm of scientific inquiry. Alternatively, in this paper I define the notion of a run as a discontinuous shift in portfolio asset holdings brought about by a belief in the end of the price fixing regime. I also argue that runs are foreseeable events and employ the current difficulties of S & L's to serve as an extended example which emphasizes such predictability.

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File URL: http://www.nber.org/papers/w0823.pdf
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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 0823.

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Date of creation: Dec 1981
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:0823
Note: EFG
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  1. Jack Guttentag & Richard Herring, . "The Insolvency of Financial Institutions: Assessment and Regulatory Disposition," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 17-81, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
  2. Krugman, Paul, 1979. "A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(3), pages 311-25, August.
  3. Stephen W. Salant & Dale W. Henderson, 1976. "Market anticipations, government policy, and the price of gold," International Finance Discussion Papers 81, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  4. Sargent, Thomas J & Wallace, Neil, 1973. "The Stability of Models of Money and Growth with Perfect Foresight," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(6), pages 1043-48, November.
  5. Salant, Stephen W & Henderson, Dale W, 1978. "Market Anticipations of Government Policies and the Price of Gold," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 86(4), pages 627-48, August.
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