Earnings Growth versus Measures of Income and Education for Predicting Mortality
This paper begins an exploration to determine whether earnings growth, as a measure of the propensity to invest in human capital, is a valuable variable for predicting mortality. To insure its robustness and general applicability to ongoing Social Security models, the usefulness of earnings growth as a predictor of mortality will be explored in multiple time periods. This paper begins that process by reporting preliminary results for an early time period using the 1973 CPS-SSA-IRS Exact Match file. In addition to presenting preliminary results, the paper also describes how data challenges associated with the pre-1978 administrative record data on earnings and mortality are met.
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- James E Duggan & Robert Gillingham & John S Greenlees, 2008.
"Mortality and Lifetime Income: Evidence from U.S. Social Security Records,"
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NBER Working Papers
7140, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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- Panis, C.W.A. & Lillard, L.A., 1996. "Socioeconomic Differentials in the Returns to Social Security," Papers 96-05, RAND - Labor and Population Program.
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