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Poverty Trap and Endogenous Population

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  • Hung, Nguyen Manh
  • Makdissi, Paul

Abstract

In this paper, we develop a growth model in which human being is a production factor which can be combined with a fixed factor, say land, to produce a homogeneous commodity. Saving, so to speak, can only be made through having children, the number of which is an endogenous decision to the household. In this context, we show that the economy may run into a poverty trap with a subsistence level per capita consumption. However, we also demonstrate that the economy can escape from this unappealing long run situation through a suitable technological shift or an appropriate child- rearing tax. For such an escape, the technological shift must be non-neutral in the sense that it modifies the ratio of factor's marginal productivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Hung, Nguyen Manh & Makdissi, Paul, 1999. "Poverty Trap and Endogenous Population," Cahiers de recherche 9916, Université Laval - Département d'économique.
  • Handle: RePEc:lvl:laeccr:9916
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Galor, Oded & Weil, David, 1998. "Population, Technology and Growth: From the Malthusian Regime to the Demographic Transition," CEPR Discussion Papers 1981, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Barro, Robert J & Becker, Gary S, 1989. "Fertility Choice in a Model of Economic Growth," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 481-501, March.
    3. Paul Makdissi, 2001. "Population, ressources naturelles et droits de propriété," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 61, pages 91-103.
    4. Oded Galor & David N. Weil, 1998. "Population, Technology, and Growth: From Malthusian Stagnation to the Demographic Transition," Working Papers 98-3, Brown University, Department of Economics, revised 19 Aug 1998.
    5. Gary S. Becker & Robert J. Barro, 1988. "A Reformulation of the Economic Theory of Fertility," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 103(1), pages 1-25.
    6. Michael Kremer, 1993. "Population Growth and Technological Change: One Million B.C. to 1990," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 108(3), pages 681-716.
    7. Oded Galor & David N. Weil, 1998. "Population, Technology, and Growth: From the Malthusian Regime to the Demographic Transition and Beyond," NBER Working Papers 6811, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Poverty trap; Endogenous population; Endogenous growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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