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Fertility, Education, Inequality, and Economic Growth

Author

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  • Mingyan CHEN
  • Shinichi NISHIYAMA

Abstract

This study extends the Barro–Becker–Bewley model of endogenous fertility and intergen-erational transfers by incorporating human capital investment in children and life-cycle savings. Calibrating the model to the U.S. economy, this study quantitatively analyzes the potential effects of child-related policies such as child allowances and education subsidies. Child allowances raise fertility in the short run but reduce investment in human and phys-ical capital, thereby suppressing economic growth. Education subsidies reduce fertility in the short run but enhance welfare across all generations. The effects of child-related poli-cies on income and wealth inequality and intergenerational income mobility are generally limited.

Suggested Citation

  • Mingyan CHEN & Shinichi NISHIYAMA, 2026. "Fertility, Education, Inequality, and Economic Growth," Discussion papers e-25-014, Graduate School of Economics , Kyoto University.
  • Handle: RePEc:kue:epaper:e-25-014
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D15 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Intertemporal Household Choice; Life Cycle Models and Saving
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household
    • I24 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - Education and Inequality
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth

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