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China: Estabilidade e Crescimento Econômico

  • Marcelo José Braga Nonnenberg
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    A China apresentou um fabuloso crescimento desde 1978, ao mesmo tempo em que manteve a inflação estável. Quais os fatores responsáveis pelo sucesso da economia chinesa e até que ponto a política macroeconômica colaborou? Obviamente, diversos fatores foram responsáveis por este crescimento, apesar de nenhum destes, isoladamente, poder ser apontado como o principal. O artigo indaga se será possível a China manter um ritmo semelhante de crescimento, ou se irá passar em breve por uma forte desaceleração, a exemplo do que já aconteceu com outros países asiáticos. Sugere-se que esta ainda poderá manter um vigoroso crescimento, bastante próximo da média observada nas três últimas décadas.

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    Paper provided by Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada - IPEA in its series Discussion Papers with number 1470.

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    Length: 26 pages
    Date of creation: Feb 2010
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:ipe:ipetds:1470
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    1. Kuijs, Louis, 2006. "How will China's saving-investment balance evolve ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3958, The World Bank.
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