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Carry Trade vs. Deposit-Driven Euroization

Author

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  • Ms. Nan Geng
  • Tiberiu Scutaru
  • Mr. Johannes Wiegand

Abstract

Financial “euroization”—or “dollarization” outside of Central and Eastern Europe—is typically analyzed as a singular phenomenon that can be traced to a common set of factors. This paper argues that two types of euroization need to be distinguished, which have different causes, economic consequences, and policy implications: carry trade euroization that emerges when households and corporations seek to exploit interest rate differentials between foreign currency loans and local currency deposits, and deposit-driven euroization that is rooted in distrust in the local currency as a savings vehicle. We present a theoretical framework that sketches key features of both euroization types, and test it with data from 28 Emerging European and Central Asian economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Nan Geng & Tiberiu Scutaru & Mr. Johannes Wiegand, 2018. "Carry Trade vs. Deposit-Driven Euroization," IMF Working Papers 2018/058, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2018/058
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Martin Brown & Helmut Stix, 2015. "The euroization of bank deposits in Eastern Europe," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 30(81), pages 95-139.
    6. Kirti, Divya, 2020. "Why do bank-dependent firms bear interest-rate risk?," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Peter Backé & Elisabeth Beckmann, 2022. "Euro adoption in CESEE: How do financial literacy and trust in institutions affect people’s attitudes?," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/22, pages 7-28.
    2. Marcin Kolasa, 2022. "Equilibrium foreign currency mortgages," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 45, pages 168-186, July.

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