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Bolivia: The Hydrocarbons Boom and the Risk of Dutch Disease

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  • Mr. Eugenio M Cerutti
  • Mr. Mario Mansilla

Abstract

The hydrocarbons sector has become one of the most dynamic economic activities in the Bolivian economy and the main driver of improved export performance and international reserve accumulation. The central role of the hydrocarbons sector in the economy is attributable to the high levels of investment made in the late 1990s, which permitted much higher production levels, particularly of natural gas. However those positive developments in the hydrocarbons sector have given rise to the possibility of a new case of "Dutch disease." While Bolivia's economy has already seen many benefits from its higher gas exports, especially in terms of lower external vulnerability and improved fiscal stance, the new resources could also limit the development of other economic sectors in terms of output and factor income. This paper explores the transmission channels of Dutch disease, as well as its main symptom, the appreciation of the real exchange rate

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Eugenio M Cerutti & Mr. Mario Mansilla, 2008. "Bolivia: The Hydrocarbons Boom and the Risk of Dutch Disease," IMF Working Papers 2008/154, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2008/154
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-492 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Baja Daza, Gover & Fernández Tellería, Bernardo X. & Zavaleta Castellón, David, 2014. "Diminishing commodity prices and capital flight in a dutch disease and resource curse environment: The case of Bolivia," MPRA Paper 75702, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2014.
    3. Ramírez Cendrero, Juan M., 2014. "Has Bolivia׳s 2006–12 gas policy been useful to combat the resource curse?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 113-123.
    4. Alarcon, Samuel & Morales, Rolando & Gonzales, Rodrigo, 2016. "Dutch disease and the labor market in Bolivia," MPRA Paper 97914, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Sandrine Kablan & Josef Loening & Yasuhiro Tanaka, 2014. "Is Chad Affected by Dutch or Nigerian Disease?," Journal of Empirical Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(5), pages 278-295.
    6. Cerezo Aguirre, Sergio, 2014. "Test the Hypothesis of Dutch Disease in the Bolivian economy," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 21, pages 93-116, Mayo.
    7. Barja, Gover & Zavaleta, David, 2016. "Disminución de precios de commodities en un ambiente de enfermedad holandesa y bendición/maldición de los recursos naturales," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 25, pages 7-40, Mayo.
    8. Lanteri, Luis N., 2014. "Tipo de cambio real efectivo y exportaciones de manufacturas no tradicionales. Evidencia para Argentina," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 21, pages 117-136, Mayo.

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    Keywords

    WP; government; price; effect; export; YPFB;
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