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Disminución de precios de commodities en un ambiente de enfermedad holandesa y bendición/maldición de los recursos naturales

Author

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  • Barja, Gover

    () (Maestrías para el Desarrollo (MpD) y Escuela de la Producción y la Competitividad (EpC), Universidad Católica Boliviana “San Pablo”.)

  • Zavaleta, David

    () (Maestrías para el Desarrollo (MpD) y Escuela de la Producción y la Competitividad (EpC), Universidad Católica Boliviana “San Pablo”.)

Abstract

Se utiliza un modelo de Equilibrio General Computable para analizar los impactos externos a los precios de los commodities, en el contexto de un país (Bolivia) abundante en recursos naturales, con dos sectores orientados a la exportación de recursos naturales (gas natural y petróleo y minerales), además de otros dos sectores emergentes de productos transables (alimentos y manufacturas básicas), con una orientación dominante hacia la sustitución de importaciones. El objetivo es estudiar cómo cambió la estructura económica de Bolivia en un periodo de altos precios internacionales de sus recursos naturales y anticipar cómo tendría que ajustarse dicha estructura en un nuevo periodo de menores precios internacionales. ¿Bajo qué condiciones se revertirá el periodo de auge? ¿Está Bolivia preparada?

Suggested Citation

  • Barja, Gover & Zavaleta, David, 2016. "Disminución de precios de commodities en un ambiente de enfermedad holandesa y bendición/maldición de los recursos naturales," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana, issue 25, pages 7-40, Mayo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:1933
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Baja Daza, Gover & Fernández Tellería, Bernardo X. & Zavaleta Castellón, David, 2014. "Diminishing commodity prices and capital flight in a dutch disease and resource curse environment: The case of Bolivia," MPRA Paper 75702, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2014.
    2. Eugenio M Cerutti & Mario Mansilla, 2008. "Bolivia; The Hydrocarbons Boom and the Risk of Dutch Disease," IMF Working Papers 08/154, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Molina Fernández, José Miguel & Gonzáles Zuazo, Rodrigo, 2018. "Exposición al comercio internacional e ingresos laborales en Bolivia: evidencia al nivel del trabajador," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana, issue 31, pages 10-31, May.
    2. Roger Alejandro Banegas Rivero & Marco Alberto Núñez Ramírez & Luis Fernando Escobar Caba, 2017. "Natural Resources, Tradable and Non-tradable Sector: An Exemplification with Bolivia, a Boom - Tradable and Non-tradable Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 68-82.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Enfermedad holandesa; bendición/maldición de los recursos naturales; EGC; impactos externos; gas natural y petróleo; minerales; estructura económica; ciclo de auge/ caída.;

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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