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Bailouts and Soft Budget Constraints in Decentralized Government: A Synthesis and Survey of an Alternative View of Intergovernmental Grant Policy

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This paper selectively surveys the theoretical literature to date on governmental soft budgets where governments are bailing out other governments. The traditional view of intergovernmental grants is that grants can be used by the central government to correct for positive spillover externalities or fiscal equalization. We first we explain how the set-up of the developing “soft budget constraint” view of grant policy differs from the traditional view in fundamental ways. We then use a simple workhorse model of intergovernmental soft budgets under perfect information to examine different motivations for central government bailouts and expand the usual textbook analysis of grants to illustrate the intertemporal distortions under the alternative view of grants. This type of model has been extended in various directions. We examine extensions that include capital taxation, tax competition, forms of equalizing grants, overlapping budget constraints, multiple grant instruments, and the case when public spending is an input to private production. We also briefly review certain papers that examine intergovernmental soft budgets and bailouts when public investment has uncertain returns, a feature of the original models relating to SOEs, and a closely related literature that deals with decentralized leadership and an analogy to Becker’s Rotten Kid Theorem. We conclude with some thoughts on directions for future research.

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  • Timothy J. Goodspeed, 2016. "Bailouts and Soft Budget Constraints in Decentralized Government: A Synthesis and Survey of an Alternative View of Intergovernmental Grant Policy," Economics Working Paper Archive at Hunter College 447, Hunter College Department of Economics, revised 07 Nov 2016.
  • Handle: RePEc:htr:hcecon:447
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    Cited by:

    1. Diego Martínez‐López, 2022. "Subnational borrowing and bailouts: When the federal government looks at the votes (differently) and its borrowing matters," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 24(3), pages 609-633, June.
    2. Kalamov, Zarko & Staal, Klaas, 2023. "Too-big-to-fail in federations?," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    3. Manuel E. Lago & Santiago Lago-Peñas & Jorge Martinez-Vazquez, 2024. "On the effects of intergovernmental grants: a survey," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(3), pages 856-908, June.
    4. Liu, Yan & Wu, Guowei & Xiong, Chen, 2024. "Countercyclical central government transfers incentivize local government overborrowing: Theory and evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. Guo, Si & Pei, Yun & Xie, Zoe, 2022. "A dynamic model of fiscal decentralization and public debt accumulation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    6. Si Guo & Yun Pei & Zoe Xie, 2018. "Decentralization and Overborrowing in a Fiscal Federation," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2018-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    7. Timothy J. Goodspeed, 2025. "Coping with extreme events: on solving decentralised budgetary crises," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 59(1), pages 2247016-224, December.
    8. Timothy J. Goodspeed, 2018. "Decentralization and intra-country transfers in the great recession: the case of EU," Working Papers. Collection A: Public economics, governance and decentralization 1807, Universidade de Vigo, GEN - Governance and Economics research Network.
    9. Carmen Marín-González & Diego Martínez-López, 2024. "Fiscal stabilisation, debt sustainability and public spending in subnational governments. The case of the Spanish regions," Studies on the Spanish Economy eee2024-02, FEDEA.
    10. Santiago Calvo & María Cadaval, 2022. "The Impact of Soft Budget Constraint on the Fiscal Co-responsibility of the Autonomous Communities in Spain: The Case of Extraordinary Liquidity Funds (2012-2019," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 240(1), pages 151-190, March.
    11. Lago Peñas, Santiago & Vaquero-Garcia, Alberto & Sanchez-Fernandez, Patricio & Lopez-Bermudez, Beatriz, 2019. "Does fiscal consolidation hurt economic growth? Empirical evidence from Spanish regions," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 13, pages 1-19.
    12. Massimo Bordignon & Davide Cipullo & Gilberto Turati, 2025. "Strategic Bankruptcies. Do Smart Politicians Do It Better?," CESifo Working Paper Series 11930, CESifo.
    13. Siniša Mali & Lenka MaliCká, 2023. "Impact of Fiscal Decentralization on Fiscal Stance in EU: Real Deal or Econometric Illusion?," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 246(3), pages 71-99, September.
    14. Si Guo & Yun Pei & Zoe Xie, 2018. "Fiscal Decentralization, Intergovernmental Transfer, and Overborrowing," 2018 Meeting Papers 975, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    15. Carmen Marín & Diego Martínez, 2024. "The public debt of the Spanish regions. Estimates of their fiscal consolidation efforts and scenarios of future evolution," Studies on the Spanish Economy eee2024-15, FEDEA.

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    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue

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